| Outcome | Probability | Yes Bid | Yes Ask | 24h Change | Volume | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Israel / Israeli | 1% | 0¢ | 1¢ | — | $85K | Trade → |
| Epic Fury | 1% | 0¢ | 1¢ | — | $33K | Trade → |
| Khamenei / Ayatollah | 1% | 0¢ | 1¢ | — | $16K | Trade → |
| Bibi / Netanyahu | 1% | 0¢ | 1¢ | — | $11K | Trade → |
| Hormuz | 1% | 0¢ | 1¢ | — | $9K | Trade → |
| Ukraine / Russia | 1% | 0¢ | 1¢ | — | $9K | Trade → |
| Hezbollah | 1% | 0¢ | 1¢ | — | $8K | Trade → |
| Saudi | 1% | 0¢ | 1¢ | — | $7K | Trade → |
| Noem | 1% | 0¢ | 1¢ | — | $7K | Trade → |
| Epstein | 1% | 0¢ | 1¢ | — | $6K | Trade → |
| Supreme Court | 1% | 0¢ | 1¢ | — | $5K | Trade → |
| Protest / Protester | 1% | 0¢ | 1¢ | — | $3K | Trade → |
| Fraud | 1% | 0¢ | 1¢ | — | $3K | Trade → |
This market asks which specific phrase, topic, or mention Bret Baier will speak on during his show; it matters because his on-air language can shape headlines, viewer perceptions, and downstream news coverage.
Bret Baier is the anchor of Fox News' flagship evening news program and frequently opens with a monologue, conducts interviews, and facilitates panel discussions; those segments provide multiple opportunities for specific mentions. Markets in the 'Mentions' category track discrete on-air words or topics rather than outcomes like ratings, and past similar markets have moved quickly around breaking news and guest lineups.
Market prices reflect how traders collectively expect the show to play out given available information and update as new details (guests, breaking events, promos) arrive; they are not guarantees but signals to weigh alongside official transcripts and video.
The event page currently lists the close as TBD; the platform will set a closing time (often before or at the start of the broadcast) and publish it on the market page—monitor the KALSHI listing for the official close time.
Outcome labels are created by the market listing and typically represent discrete phrases, names, or topics that traders predict Bret Baier will say on air; listing notes or the market description explain how each label is defined.
Settlement depends on the contract's definition and the platform's adjudication; generally, words spoken aloud by Bret on the broadcast count, but consult the market rules and settlement criteria on KALSHI for how quoted material is treated.
Typically outcomes are fixed once the market is listed to preserve trading integrity; on rare occasions the platform may amend or cancel a market and will post an official notice—check the market announcement feed for any changes.
Settlement usually relies on the official audio/video record and transcripts of the broadcast, and may reference network logs or producer records; KALSHI will cite the authoritative source and settlement rule on the market page if questions arise.