| Outcome | Probability | Yes Bid | Yes Ask | 24h Change | Volume | |
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| Event does not qualify | 0% | 0¢ | 0¢ | — | $0 | Trade → |
| Kimmel | 0% | 0¢ | 0¢ | — | $0 | Trade → |
| China / Chinese | 0% | 0¢ | 0¢ | — | $0 | Trade → |
| First Amendment | 0% | 0¢ | 0¢ | — | $0 | Trade → |
| Free Speech / Freedom of Speech | 0% | 0¢ | 0¢ | — | $0 | Trade → |
| Fake News | 0% | 0¢ | 0¢ | — | $0 | Trade → |
| Constitution / Constitutional | 0% | 0¢ | 0¢ | — | $0 | Trade → |
| Trump (3+ times) | 0% | 0¢ | 0¢ | — | $0 | Trade → |
| TikTok / Social Media | 0% | 0¢ | 0¢ | — | $0 | Trade → |
| Democrat | 0% | 0¢ | 0¢ | — | $0 | Trade → |
This market asks which specific topic or claim Brendan Carr will make during his CPAC discussion; it matters because his remarks can signal FCC priorities and influence regulatory and political debate.
Brendan Carr is an FCC commissioner known for vocal positions on platform moderation, competition, and Section 230 reform; CPAC is a high‑visibility conservative conference where officials often preview policy stances and target audiences that shape media and legislative momentum. Historical context: Carr has previously used public appearances to press tech platforms and to outline regulatory approaches, making his CPAC remarks likely to attract rapid media amplification.
Market prices reflect the collective expectations of participants about which specific statements Carr will make and update as new information (schedules, leaks, previews, or the live talk) appears; interpret shifts as reactions to emerging signals rather than fixed predictions of intent.
Resolution timing depends on the market’s rules and the availability of a clear, public source (video or transcript) documenting what Carr said; monitor the event listing for the official close or the resolution notice once remarks are published.
Outcomes are typically adjudicated based on verifiable, contemporaneous public records—recorded video, official transcripts, or widely documented quotes; ambiguous or paraphrased statements are resolved according to the market’s published adjudication criteria.
Yes—unless the event listing explicitly limits scope to prepared remarks, both prepared remarks and unscripted responses that are captured in the official record usually count toward outcome determination.
Yes; press previews, prior speeches, and posted talking points are key inputs for market participants and can shift expectations by revealing likely themes or exact lines Carr intends to use.
Organizers and moderators who shape the session format, allied policymakers or advocacy groups that coordinate messaging, recent actions by major tech platforms, and contemporaneous FCC announcements that Carr may reference.