| Outcome | Probability | Yes Bid | Yes Ask | 24h Change | Volume | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Afford / Affordable / Affordability | 1% | 0¢ | 1¢ | — | $171K | Trade → |
| Billionaire (3+ times) | 1% | 0¢ | 1¢ | — | $74K | Trade → |
| Iran | 1% | 0¢ | 1¢ | — | $66K | Trade → |
| Taxpayer | 1% | 0¢ | 1¢ | — | $58K | Trade → |
| Middle Class | 1% | 0¢ | 1¢ | — | $46K | Trade → |
| Oil / Gas / Gasoline | 1% | 0¢ | 1¢ | — | $45K | Trade → |
| ICE / DHS | 1% | 0¢ | 1¢ | — | $44K | Trade → |
| Bezos | 1% | 0¢ | 1¢ | — | $40K | Trade → |
| Corrupt / Corruption | 1% | 0¢ | 1¢ | — | $35K | Trade → |
| Elon / Musk | 1% | 0¢ | 1¢ | — | $28K | Trade → |
| Social Security | 1% | 0¢ | 1¢ | — | $26K | Trade → |
| Immigrant / Immigration | 1% | 0¢ | 1¢ | — | $21K | Trade → |
| Robot / Robotic / Robotics | 1% | 0¢ | 1¢ | — | $17K | Trade → |
| Constitution / Constitutional / Unconstitutional | 99% | 99¢ | 100¢ | — | $16K | Trade → |
| Climate | 99% | 99¢ | 100¢ | — | $13K | Trade → |
| Authoritarian/ Authoritarianism | 99% | 99¢ | 100¢ | — | $13K | Trade → |
| Healthcare | 99% | 99¢ | 100¢ | — | $13K | Trade → |
| AI / Artificial Intelligence | 99% | 99¢ | 100¢ | — | $10K | Trade → |
| Facebook / Meta | 1% | 0¢ | 1¢ | — | $7K | Trade → |
| Paycheck to Paycheck | 99% | 99¢ | 100¢ | — | $7K | Trade → |
| Republican | 99% | 99¢ | 100¢ | — | $7K | Trade → |
| Event does not qualify | 1% | 0¢ | 1¢ | — | $7K | Trade → |
| Trump | 99% | 99¢ | 100¢ | — | $7K | Trade → |
This prediction market lists specific phrases or topics Bernie Sanders might say during his Illinois rally and lets traders buy outcomes based on which item they expect him to utter. It matters because the content of a high-profile speech can shape media narratives and influence supporters and donors.
Bernie Sanders is a high-profile political figure whose rallies typically focus on economic justice, healthcare, climate, and campaign strategy; past rallies and debate appearances provide context for likely themes. Illinois as a location can bring local issues and constituencies into play, and the exact wording of a rally line can become a newsworthy soundbite.
Market prices reflect the crowd’s evolving expectations about which outcomes will occur and update with new information like leaked scripts, campaign messaging, or live reporting. Treat prices as real-time signals about market consensus rather than definitive forecasts.
The event currently shows 'Closes: TBD.' KALSHI will publish a close time on the event page; monitor that page or platform announcements for updates.
Resolution depends on the market’s specific rules and adjudication criteria—typically based on live audio, an official transcript, or widely circulated media reports. Check the market’s resolution policy and any adjudicator guidance for exact standards.
Only words spoken by Bernie are normally eligible; audience noise or comments by others do not count unless Bernie repeats or endorses them. Confirm the treatment of interruptions in the market's resolution notes.
That figure is the cumulative dollar value of trades executed on this market so far. Higher volume generally means more interest and liquidity, but it does not guarantee any particular outcome will occur.
Markets sometimes add or modify outcomes prior to closing; this event currently lists 23 outcomes. Watch event updates or platform announcements to see if outcomes are added, merged, or clarified before resolution.