| Outcome | Probability | Yes Bid | Yes Ask | 24h Change | Volume | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Nuclear / Nuke | 0% | 0¢ | 0¢ | — | $0 | Trade → |
| Bipartisan | 0% | 0¢ | 0¢ | — | $0 | Trade → |
| ChatGPT / OpenAI | 0% | 0¢ | 0¢ | — | $0 | Trade → |
| Iran | 0% | 0¢ | 0¢ | — | $0 | Trade → |
| Oil / Gas / Gasoline | 0% | 0¢ | 0¢ | — | $0 | Trade → |
| Dario / Anthropic | 0% | 0¢ | 0¢ | — | $0 | Trade → |
| Afford / Affordable / Affordability | 0% | 0¢ | 0¢ | — | $0 | Trade → |
| Water | 0% | 0¢ | 0¢ | — | $0 | Trade → |
| Crypto / Cryptocurrency | 0% | 0¢ | 0¢ | — | $0 | Trade → |
| Subsidy / Subsidize | 0% | 0¢ | 0¢ | — | $0 | Trade → |
| Event does not qualify | 0% | 0¢ | 0¢ | — | $0 | Trade → |
| Department of Defense / Department of War | 0% | 0¢ | 0¢ | — | $0 | Trade → |
| Billionaire (3+ times) | 0% | 0¢ | 0¢ | — | $0 | Trade → |
| Immigrant / Immigration | 0% | 0¢ | 0¢ | — | $0 | Trade → |
| Robot / Robotic / Robotics | 0% | 0¢ | 0¢ | — | $0 | Trade → |
| Bezos | 0% | 0¢ | 0¢ | — | $0 | Trade → |
| Revolution / Revolutionary | 0% | 0¢ | 0¢ | — | $0 | Trade → |
| Climate | 0% | 0¢ | 0¢ | — | $0 | Trade → |
| Trump | 0% | 0¢ | 0¢ | — | $0 | Trade → |
| Elon / Musk | 0% | 0¢ | 0¢ | — | $0 | Trade → |
This market asks which specific statement or category Bernie will say during his AI-focused press conference; outcomes map to distinct quoted lines or thematic categories. The result matters because his exact wording can shape policy discussions, stakeholder reactions, and media coverage around AI.
Bernie (the public figure hosting this press conference) has previously weighed in on technology, worker protections, and regulation; remarks about AI could indicate legislative priorities or shifts in political messaging. The market offers 14 predefined outcomes that represent likely phrases or themes; resolution will rely on primary-source audio/video or an official transcript after the event.
Market odds reflect the trading community’s aggregated expectation about which literal outcome will be observed, updating as new information (leaks, agenda changes, previews) emerges. Treat prices as a real-time signal of expectation about specific statements, not as a statement of intent by the speaker.
Resolution will occur after the press conference concludes and a primary-source transcript or unedited recording is available; market rules typically specify the official source used and a short window for arbitration if statements are ambiguous.
Outcomes are resolved against the literal wording defined by the market; if Bernie’s language differs from an outcome’s exact phrasing, resolution will follow the market’s rulebook and the administrator will use the full transcript or recording to determine the closest matching outcome or invoke arbitration.
Verifiers will prioritize the official video or audio of the press conference and any written transcript issued by the speaker’s office or the primary broadcaster; the market’s resolution policy names acceptable sources and the order of precedence.
Each outcome corresponds to a specific quoted sentence or a narrowly defined thematic line (for example, calls for regulation, worker protections, or praise of industry); the market description lists every outcome and the exact wording or definition used for resolution.
Monitor official advance releases or talking points, staff or allied organization statements, live previews from media, changes to the press conference agenda, and breaking news about AI or labor that could shift the speaker’s emphasis during remarks or Q&A.