| Outcome | Probability | Yes Bid | Yes Ask | 24h Change | Volume | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Epic Fury | 31% | 26¢ | 31¢ | — | $41K | Trade → |
| Existential | 39% | 32¢ | 38¢ | — | $33K | Trade → |
| Negotiate / Negotiated / Negotiation | 59% | 54¢ | 59¢ | — | $31K | Trade → |
| Nuclear | 96% | 96¢ | 98¢ | — | $29K | Trade → |
| Iron Dome | 22% | 21¢ | 22¢ | — | $26K | Trade → |
| October 7 | 39% | 39¢ | 53¢ | — | $25K | Trade → |
| Hezbollah | 56% | 55¢ | 56¢ | — | $22K | Trade → |
| Trump | 98% | 98¢ | 99¢ | — | $20K | Trade → |
| Gaza / Palestine | 29% | 24¢ | 29¢ | — | $20K | Trade → |
| Khamenei / Ayatollah | 81% | 77¢ | 81¢ | — | $18K | Trade → |
| Civilian | 62% | 60¢ | 62¢ | — | $14K | Trade → |
| Terrorist / Terrorism | 81% | 81¢ | 83¢ | — | $10K | Trade → |
| Regime | 93% | 93¢ | 95¢ | — | $6K | Trade → |