| Outcome | Probability | Yes Bid | Yes Ask | 24h Change | Volume | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Epic Fury | 31% | 26¢ | 31¢ | — | $41K | Trade → |
| Existential | 39% | 32¢ | 38¢ | — | $33K | Trade → |
| Negotiate / Negotiated / Negotiation | 59% | 54¢ | 59¢ | — | $31K | Trade → |
| Nuclear | 96% | 96¢ | 98¢ | — | $29K | Trade → |
| Iron Dome | 22% | 21¢ | 22¢ | — | $26K | Trade → |
| October 7 | 39% | 39¢ | 53¢ | — | $25K | Trade → |
| Hezbollah | 56% | 55¢ | 56¢ | — | $22K | Trade → |
| Trump | 98% | 98¢ | 99¢ | — | $20K | Trade → |
| Gaza / Palestine | 29% | 24¢ | 29¢ | — | $20K | Trade → |
| Khamenei / Ayatollah | 81% | 77¢ | 81¢ | — | $18K | Trade → |
| Civilian | 62% | 60¢ | 62¢ | — | $14K | Trade → |
| Terrorist / Terrorism | 81% | 81¢ | 83¢ | — | $10K | Trade → |
| Regime | 93% | 93¢ | 95¢ | — | $6K | Trade → |
This market asks which specific statements or themes Benjamin Netanyahu will express during his Fox News interview; it matters because his remarks can affect diplomatic signaling, Israeli domestic politics, and media narratives.
The interview takes place against a background of ongoing Israeli political and security developments; Netanyahu's past media appearances have been used to communicate policy positions, rally supporters, and respond to international criticism. Timing, interviewer prompts, and real-time events all shape what he emphasizes.
Market prices reflect the crowd's assessment of which specific outcomes or quotes are most likely to occur, and they will update as new information (scheduling, leaks, situational changes) becomes available. They are not fixed statements of fact but snapshots of collective expectations.
A market marked 'Closes: TBD' remains open until the platform sets a closing time; resolution follows the platform's announced timeline and rules once the interview has aired or a designated transcript/source is available, so monitor official platform updates for the exact close.
Each outcome corresponds to a specific quoted phrase, claim, or thematic category as defined in the market's rules; resolution uses the agreed-upon definition (verbatim quote, paraphrase threshold, or topic classification) in the market terms to determine which outcome occurred.
Resolution typically relies on primary on-air sources specified in the market rules—such as the official Fox News broadcast or an official transcript—and adjudicators will reference those sources; the platform will state which sources are authoritative for this market.
Unless the market explicitly allows post-broadcast statements, only the on-air interview content specified in the market terms is used for resolution; subsequent clarifications or off-camera remarks are generally excluded unless the rules say otherwise.
Key changemakers include sudden security incidents or diplomatic moves, formal statements from Israeli or U.S. officials, pre-interview leaks or previews, and any announced changes to the interview format, timing, or host—each can shift topic prominence and wording.