| Outcome | Probability | Yes Bid | Yes Ask | 24h Change | Volume | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| ✓ Witch Hunt | 0% | 0¢ | 0¢ | — | $0 | Resolved |
| ✓ Barack Hussein Obama | 0% | 0¢ | 0¢ | — | $0 | Resolved |
| Biden Crime Family | 0% | 0¢ | 0¢ | — | $0 | Trade → |
| Comrade Kamala | 0% | 0¢ | 0¢ | — | $0 | Trade → |
| Crazy Bernie | 0% | 0¢ | 0¢ | — | $0 | Trade → |
| ✓ Crooked Hillary | 0% | 0¢ | 0¢ | — | $0 | Resolved |
| ✓ Crying Chuck / Cryin Chuck | 0% | 0¢ | 0¢ | — | $0 | Resolved |
| ✓ Green New Scam | 0% | 0¢ | 0¢ | — | $0 | Resolved |
| ✓ Sleazebag | 0% | 0¢ | 0¢ | — | $0 | Resolved |
| ✓ Sleepy Joe | 0% | 0¢ | 0¢ | — | $0 | Resolved |
| ✓ Low IQ | 0% | 0¢ | 0¢ | — | $0 | Resolved |
| ✓ Too Late | 0% | 0¢ | 0¢ | — | $0 | Resolved |
| Little Communist | 0% | 0¢ | 0¢ | — | $0 | Trade → |
| ✓ Marjorie Traitor Greene | 0% | 0¢ | 0¢ | — | $0 | Resolved |
| ✓ Newscum | 0% | 0¢ | 0¢ | — | $0 | Resolved |
| Pocahontas | 0% | 0¢ | 0¢ | — | $0 | Trade → |
| Slopadopolous | 0% | 0¢ | 0¢ | — | $0 | Trade → |
| ✓ Whack Job / Wack Job | 0% | 0¢ | 0¢ | — | $0 | Resolved |
| Rocket Man | 0% | 0¢ | 0¢ | — | $0 | Trade → |
| Low Energy | 0% | 0¢ | 0¢ | — | $0 | Trade → |
| ✓ Con Job | 0% | 0¢ | 0¢ | — | $0 | Resolved |
| Piggy | 0% | 0¢ | 0¢ | — | $0 | Trade → |
| Tampon Tim | 0% | 0¢ | 0¢ | — | $0 | Trade → |
| Fat Slob | 0% | 0¢ | 0¢ | — | $0 | Trade → |
This market tracks which of a predefined set of nicknames former President Donald Trump will publicly say before April. It matters because his choice of nicknames signals messaging priorities and can influence media narratives and voter perceptions.
Trump has a long record of inventing and repeating nicknames for opponents, media outlets, and other public figures; this market formalizes which of the listed monikers he will utter in public before April. The event lists 24 specific outcomes that correspond to individual nicknames; market prices reflect collective expectations about his rhetorical behavior. Close and resolution timing are set by the exchange (Kalshi) and should be checked on the market page.
In this context, market prices represent the consensus of participants about whether Trump will say a listed nickname before the cutoff; prices move as new appearances, interviews, or news change expectations. Use the market as a real‑time signal of participants’ judgments, not as a definitive prediction about future actions.
The official cutoff date and time are specified in the market description on Kalshi; when in doubt, consult that page for the exchange’s stated deadline and time zone. Generally it means any qualifying public utterance on or before the last second prior to April 1, subject to the market’s explicit rules.
Resolution typically requires Trump himself to utter the nickname in a public setting such as a speech, interview, press conference, broadcast appearance, or on his verified social accounts; quoting by others or third‑party summaries usually does not qualify unless the content shows him saying the word. The market’s official resolution criteria should be checked for precise definitions.
Each listed outcome corresponds to a specific nickname in the market. Whether multiple outcomes can resolve depends on the market’s structure (single‑choice vs. multiple independent yes/no outcomes); check the outcome format on the Kalshi market page to see if multiple nicknames can win.
If Trump himself vocalizes the nickname in a public setting, it typically qualifies regardless of context (e.g., reading from notes or quoting someone) as long as the utterance is attributable to him. Markets often require verifiable evidence such as video, audio, or archived social posts for resolution.
Kalshi (the exchange) is the official resolution agent and follows its published dispute and adjudication procedures; participants should submit primary evidence—time‑stamped video, transcripts, or official social posts—per the exchange’s instructions if they believe a resolution requires review.