| Outcome | Probability | Yes Bid | Yes Ask | 24h Change | Volume | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Above 1,000,000 | 0% | 0¢ | 0¢ | — | $0 | Trade → |
| Above 1,100,000 | 0% | 0¢ | 0¢ | — | $0 | Trade → |
| Above 1,200,000 | 0% | 0¢ | 0¢ | — | $0 | Trade → |
| Above 1,300,000 | 0% | 0¢ | 0¢ | — | $0 | Trade → |
| Above 1,400,000 | 0% | 0¢ | 0¢ | — | $0 | Trade → |
| Above 1,500,000 | 0% | 0¢ | 0¢ | — | $0 | Trade → |
| Above 1,600,000 | 0% | 0¢ | 0¢ | — | $0 | Trade → |
| Above 1,700,000 | 0% | 0¢ | 0¢ | — | $0 | Trade → |
| Above 1,850,000 | 0% | 0¢ | 0¢ | — | $0 | Trade → |
| Above 2,000,000 | 0% | 0¢ | 0¢ | — | $0 | Trade → |
This market asks which USD/IRR exchange-rate bucket will apply on March 31, 2026. The outcome matters for traders and observers trying to gauge Iran’s currency pressure, inflationary outlook, and export revenues at the end of Q1 2026.
Iran’s rial historically trades under multiple pricing regimes (official, subsidized, and free-market/black-market) and is sensitive to oil export volumes, international sanctions, and domestic monetary policy. Events that change export receipts, sanctions status, Central Bank of Iran actions, or large fiscal measures can produce abrupt shifts in the market price of USD/IRR.
Prediction-market prices here reflect the market’s aggregated expectations about which exchange-rate band will be in effect on the specified settlement date; they are a real-time sentiment indicator, not an objective guarantee. Use them alongside official data sources and policy announcements to form a view.
Resolution depends on the contract’s stated settlement source and time—check the event page for the precise published rate or index used (e.g., a named official or market reference) and the settlement cut-off. If the market description is silent, consult the exchange’s rulebook linked on the event page.
This market offers ten discrete outcomes representing mutually exclusive exchange-rate buckets for March 31, 2026; the event page lists the exact numeric bands or labels for each outcome. Review those labels before trading to ensure you understand which interval your position represents.
Watch Central Bank of Iran policy statements and published reference rates, major oil-export and shipping reports, sanctions-related diplomatic moves or announcements, key domestic macro releases (inflation, trade and fiscal reports), and any sudden capital-control or subsidy-policy changes—each can change expectations for the March 31 rate.
Primary influences include the Central Bank of Iran and fiscal authorities (through exchange-rate policy and reserves), large state or private exporters and importers, foreign governments or sanctioning bodies, and active participants in Iran’s free-market/black-market FX networks.
Traders can take positions in the outcome(s) that correspond to exchange-rate ranges they expect on March 31, 2026; doing so expresses a view on currency pressure, reserve sufficiency, and policy effectiveness. Keep in mind event-specific settlement rules, market liquidity, and the need to monitor policy and external developments up to the settlement date.