| Outcome | Probability | Yes Bid | Yes Ask | 24h Change | Volume | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Above 177.0 | 0% | 0¢ | 0¢ | — | $0 | Trade → |
| Above 179.0 | 0% | 0¢ | 0¢ | — | $0 | Trade → |
| Above 180.0 | 0% | 0¢ | 0¢ | — | $0 | Trade → |
| Above 182.0 | 0% | 0¢ | 0¢ | — | $0 | Trade → |
| Above 183.0 | 0% | 0¢ | 0¢ | — | $0 | Trade → |
| Above 184.0 | 0% | 0¢ | 0¢ | — | $0 | Trade → |
| Above 185.0 | 0% | 0¢ | 0¢ | — | $0 | Trade → |
This market asks how the Bureau of Labor Statistics will report the 'Used cars and trucks' component of the Consumer Price Index for March 2026. That component is watched because it is frequently volatile and can meaningfully influence headline and core inflation readings and market expectations.
Used vehicle prices spiked and swung widely during the pandemic and its aftermath due to production disruptions, rental fleet dynamics, and shifts in consumer demand; since then the series has shown periods of normalization but remains sensitive to supply and credit conditions. The March 2026 reading will be the official, public BLS measure for that month and is used by economists, policymakers, and markets to update inflation assessments.
Market odds represent traders' collective expectations about which pre-defined outcome range will contain the official BLS value for the 'Used cars and trucks' CPI in March 2026. Odds move as new information arrives but do not guarantee the actual reported number.
Settlement will be determined by the official Bureau of Labor Statistics CPI publication for March 2026, using the published value for the 'Used cars and trucks' subindex; the market settles to whichever outcome range includes that official BLS figure.
The BLS releases monthly CPI data once per month after the reference month closes; this market uses that official monthly CPI release for March 2026 as the source for settlement, and platforms typically wait for the final published figure including any immediate BLS corrections.
Each outcome corresponds to a predefined range or category for the BLS-reported change in the 'Used cars and trucks' CPI for March 2026; the platform listing for this market defines the exact numeric boundaries for each of the seven outcomes and settlement goes to the range that contains the official value.
Wholesale auction indices, dealer inventory reports, monthly vehicle sales and registrations, balance-sheet signals from large rental and fleet operators, changes in auto loan spreads, and major macro releases (jobs, consumer spending) are commonly impactful because they change expectations about supply and demand for used vehicles.
Historical March readings provide context on seasonality and past volatility but do not determine the outcome; use them alongside current indicators like dealer inventories, auction prices, and financing conditions to form a view about how the March 2026 reading may move relative to recent months.