| Outcome | Probability | Yes Bid | Yes Ask | 24h Change | Volume | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Above 395 million barrels | 0% | 0¢ | 0¢ | — | $0 | Trade → |
| Above 375 million barrels | 0% | 0¢ | 0¢ | — | $0 | Trade → |
| Above 405 million barrels | 0% | 0¢ | 0¢ | — | $0 | Trade → |
| Above 415 million barrels | 0% | 0¢ | 0¢ | — | $0 | Trade → |
| Above 425 million barrels | 0% | 0¢ | 0¢ | — | $0 | Trade → |
| Above 455 million barrels | 0% | 0¢ | 0¢ | — | $0 | Trade → |
| Above 445 million barrels | 0% | 0¢ | 0¢ | — | $0 | Trade → |
| Above 435 million barrels | 0% | 0¢ | 0¢ | — | $0 | Trade → |
| Above 385 million barrels | 0% | 0¢ | 0¢ | — | $0 | Trade → |
| Above 365 million barrels | 0% | 0¢ | 0¢ | — | $0 | Trade → |
This market asks which level the U.S. Strategic Petroleum Reserve (SPR) will be recorded at on April 1, 2026. SPR levels matter because they reflect U.S. strategic energy buffers and can affect oil-market sentiment and policy responses.
The SPR was created after the 1970s energy shocks and is managed by the U.S. Department of Energy; it has been tapped, sold, and replenished at different times for emergency response, budgetary sales, and market-stabilizing actions. Recent years have seen both large drawdowns and targeted purchases, and future SPR trends depend on policy choices, market conditions, and inventory management decisions.
Market odds on this event represent the collective view about which of the platform's discrete SPR-level outcomes is most likely to match the official reported inventory on April 1, 2026; they update as new data and decisions arrive and are not guarantees of the final reported number.
Resolution will rely on the official SPR inventory figure specified in the event's rules, typically drawn from Department of Energy publications or the official data source named on the event page; check the event's resolution rules for the exact authoritative source.
Each outcome corresponds to a predefined inventory band or exact reported figure as listed on the event page; review the outcome definitions on the market platform to see the precise mapping to barrels or ranges used for resolution.
Material changes could come from DOE-authorized emergency releases, executive actions to accelerate sales or purchases, or Congressional legislation mandating transfers or funding-driven acquisitions; timing and scale of such actions directly move the recorded SPR level.
Yes—DOE and EIA weekly petroleum status reports and related DOE SPR updates are primary near-term signals because they reveal changes in stocks, planned movements, and inventory trends; monitor those releases and the accompanying DOE press statements for updates.
Unexpected shocks can prompt emergency releases, accelerate policy decisions, or disrupt crude flows and reporting; their actual impact on the official April 1 figure depends on the timing and the specific policy or logistical response documented by DOE or Congress.