| Outcome | Probability | Yes Bid | Yes Ask | 24h Change | Volume | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Above -0.4% | 0% | 0¢ | 0¢ | — | $0 | Trade → |
| Above -0.3% | 0% | 0¢ | 0¢ | — | $0 | Trade → |
| Above -0.2% | 0% | 0¢ | 0¢ | — | $0 | Trade → |
| Above -0.1% | 0% | 0¢ | 0¢ | — | $0 | Trade → |
| Above -0% | 0% | 0¢ | 0¢ | — | $0 | Trade → |
| Above 0.1% | 0% | 0¢ | 0¢ | — | $0 | Trade → |
| Above 0.2% | 0% | 0¢ | 0¢ | — | $0 | Trade → |
| Above 0.3% | 0% | 0¢ | 0¢ | — | $0 | Trade → |
| Above 0.4% | 0% | 0¢ | 0¢ | — | $0 | Trade → |
| Above 0.5% | 0% | 0¢ | 0¢ | — | $0 | Trade → |
| Above 0.6% | 0% | 0¢ | 0¢ | — | $0 | Trade → |
| Above 0.7% | 0% | 0¢ | 0¢ | — | $0 | Trade → |
| Above 0.8% | 0% | 0¢ | 0¢ | — | $0 | Trade → |
| Above 0.9% | 0% | 0¢ | 0¢ | — | $0 | Trade → |
| Above 1% | 0% | 0¢ | 0¢ | — | $0 | Trade → |
This market tracks the monthly percentage change in US personal income for February 2026 as reported by the Bureau of Economic Analysis (BEA). Personal income is a critical metric for gauging consumer purchasing power and broader economic health.
Personal income measures the total income received by all individuals from all sources, including wages, social security, and investment dividends. Data is released monthly and is a key component in understanding consumer spending trends, which account for the majority of US economic activity. Analysts watch this data closely for shifts in labor market conditions and inflationary pressures.
Market prices represent the collective expectation of future BEA reports; higher prices indicate a consensus toward specific growth bands for the month.
The data is sourced directly from the Bureau of Economic Analysis (BEA) 'Personal Income and Outlays' report.
This market settles based on the initial 'first estimate' released by the BEA for February 2026, regardless of subsequent revisions.
This market tracks nominal personal income, which is the total dollar amount before adjusting for inflation.
The Federal Reserve monitors personal income to assess demand-pull inflation risks and consumer resilience in the face of interest rate policy.
The outcomes represent distinct percentage ranges for month-over-month growth, allowing traders to bet on the specific magnitude of income change.