| Outcome | Probability | Yes Bid | Yes Ask | 24h Change | Volume | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Above 270 | 0% | 0¢ | 0¢ | — | $0 | Trade → |
| Above 275 | 0% | 0¢ | 0¢ | — | $0 | Trade → |
| Above 280 | 0% | 0¢ | 0¢ | — | $0 | Trade → |
| Above 285 | 0% | 0¢ | 0¢ | — | $0 | Trade → |
| Above 290 | 0% | 0¢ | 0¢ | — | $0 | Trade → |
| Above 295 | 0% | 0¢ | 0¢ | — | $0 | Trade → |
| Above 300 | 0% | 0¢ | 0¢ | — | $0 | Trade → |
| Above 305 | 0% | 0¢ | 0¢ | — | $0 | Trade → |
| Above 310 | 0% | 0¢ | 0¢ | — | $0 | Trade → |
| Above 315 | 0% | 0¢ | 0¢ | — | $0 | Trade → |
| Above 320 | 0% | 0¢ | 0¢ | — | $0 | Trade → |
| Above 325 | 0% | 0¢ | 0¢ | — | $0 | Trade → |
| Above 330 | 0% | 0¢ | 0¢ | — | $0 | Trade → |
| Above 335 | 0% | 0¢ | 0¢ | — | $0 | Trade → |
| Above 340 | 0% | 0¢ | 0¢ | — | $0 | Trade → |
| Above 345 | 0% | 0¢ | 0¢ | — | $0 | Trade → |
| Above 350 | 0% | 0¢ | 0¢ | — | $0 | Trade → |
This prediction market asks which outcome will be realized by the Bureau of Labor Statistics' gasoline component of the US Consumer Price Index for March 2026; it matters because gasoline CPI often drives monthly headline inflation moves and can influence financial markets and policy expectations.
The CPI gasoline component measures changes in the retail price consumers pay for gasoline and is released monthly by the BLS alongside other CPI components. Monthly gasoline CPI is sensitive to crude oil moves, refinery activity, seasonal driving patterns and supply disruptions, so it can be more volatile than many other CPI subcomponents. Traders and analysts watch the March figure closely because it captures the transition into spring driving season and can affect quarter-to-quarter inflation comparisons.
Prediction market odds reflect the collective market view about which labeled outcome will match the BLS-published gasoline CPI for March 2026; prices update as new information arrives and should be read as market-implied expectations rather than official forecasts.
The market close is listed as TBD; on platforms like this, trading typically ends shortly before the official BLS release and settlement is based on the BLS-published gasoline CPI for March 2026, so check the market page for the exact close time once it is posted.
There are eight discrete settlement outcomes shown on the market page; each outcome corresponds to a specific labeled settlement category (commonly a set of numeric ranges or directional bins for the gasoline CPI), so consult the event's outcome labels to see the exact mapping that will determine settlement.
Settlement will be based on the Bureau of Labor Statistics' published gasoline component of the Consumer Price Index for March 2026, as released in the BLS CPI report for that month.
Low volume (currently shown as $0) can reflect limited attention or participation early in the market lifecycle; liquidity often increases as new information arrives (EIA reports, crude moves, refinery news) and as traders position ahead of the BLS release.
Key market-moving inputs include weekly EIA petroleum status reports, major refinery outage or restart announcements, large swings in crude oil prices, OPEC production decisions or guidance, and significant weather forecasts that affect regional demand or production.