| Outcome | Probability | Yes Bid | Yes Ask | 24h Change | Volume | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Above 3.840 | 0% | 0¢ | 0¢ | — | $0 | Trade → |
| Above 3.860 | 0% | 0¢ | 0¢ | — | $0 | Trade → |
| Above 3.880 | 0% | 0¢ | 0¢ | — | $0 | Trade → |
| Above 3.900 | 0% | 0¢ | 0¢ | — | $0 | Trade → |
| Above 3.920 | 0% | 0¢ | 0¢ | — | $0 | Trade → |
| Above 3.940 | 0% | 0¢ | 0¢ | — | $0 | Trade → |
| Above 3.960 | 0% | 0¢ | 0¢ | — | $0 | Trade → |
| Above 3.980 | 0% | 0¢ | 0¢ | — | $0 | Trade → |
| Above 4.000 | 0% | 0¢ | 0¢ | — | $0 | Trade → |
| Above 4.020 | 0% | 0¢ | 0¢ | — | $0 | Trade → |
| Above 4.040 | 0% | 0¢ | 0¢ | — | $0 | Trade → |
| Above 4.060 | 0% | 0¢ | 0¢ | — | $0 | Trade → |
| Above 4.080 | 0% | 0¢ | 0¢ | — | $0 | Trade → |
| Above 4.100 | 0% | 0¢ | 0¢ | — | $0 | Trade → |
| Above 4.120 | 0% | 0¢ | 0¢ | — | $0 | Trade → |
| Above 4.140 | 0% | 0¢ | 0¢ | — | $0 | Trade → |
| Above 4.160 | 0% | 0¢ | 0¢ | — | $0 | Trade → |
| Above 4.180 | 0% | 0¢ | 0¢ | — | $0 | Trade → |
This market tracks the weekly fluctuations of the average retail price for a gallon of gasoline in the United States. It serves as a sentiment gauge for energy market volatility and immediate household inflationary pressure.
Gas prices are a primary indicator of economic health, heavily influenced by global crude oil supply, refinery capacity, and seasonal shifts in consumer demand. Significant price swings often reflect geopolitical tensions, OPEC+ production policies, or domestic infrastructure maintenance schedules. Policymakers and consumers monitor these trends closely due to their direct impact on the Consumer Price Index and personal discretionary spending.
The market prices reflect the collective anticipation of traders regarding whether the national average will fall within specific price brackets by the close of the week.
The settlement is typically based on official data provided by the U.S. Energy Information Administration (EIA) or a designated national retail gasoline price index.
No, this market tracks the national average price across the United States rather than specific state-by-state variations.
The outcome is finalized once the official data for the corresponding week is released by the designated data provider following the market's expiration.
Severe weather can disrupt production in the Gulf of Mexico or damage key refineries, which historically leads to rapid supply constraints and localized or national price spikes.
No, this market measures the nominal retail price of gasoline in dollars per gallon at the pump, not inflation-adjusted figures.