| Outcome | Probability | Yes Bid | Yes Ask | 24h Change | Volume | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Above 3.955 | 0% | 0¢ | 0¢ | — | $0 | Trade → |
| Above 3.960 | 0% | 0¢ | 0¢ | — | $0 | Trade → |
| Above 3.965 | 0% | 0¢ | 0¢ | — | $0 | Trade → |
| Above 3.970 | 0% | 0¢ | 0¢ | — | $0 | Trade → |
| Above 3.975 | 0% | 0¢ | 0¢ | — | $0 | Trade → |
| Above 3.980 | 0% | 0¢ | 0¢ | — | $0 | Trade → |
| Above 3.985 | 0% | 0¢ | 0¢ | — | $0 | Trade → |
| Above 3.990 | 0% | 0¢ | 0¢ | — | $0 | Trade → |
| Above 3.995 | 0% | 0¢ | 0¢ | — | $0 | Trade → |
| Above 4.000 | 0% | 0¢ | 0¢ | — | $0 | Trade → |
This market tracks the national average retail price for a gallon of regular gasoline in the United States on March 30, 2026. These prices serve as a primary indicator for consumer sentiment, discretionary spending power, and national inflationary trends.
Gasoline prices are historically sensitive to global crude oil supply, refinery capacity, and seasonal shifts in demand. Regional geopolitical tensions, federal energy policy, and the strategic petroleum reserve (SPR) management are central to maintaining market stability. In the spring, prices often begin to reflect the transition to summer-blend fuel formulations, which are more costly to produce.
Participants use this market to express a collective view on the trajectory of energy costs, where the final price reflects the aggregation of diverse economic forecasts and market expectations.
The official settlement is typically based on the U.S. Energy Information Administration (EIA) national average weekly retail gasoline price report.
March 30th falls during the transition period between winter and summer-grade gasoline, a time when markets often adjust to shifting demand cycles.
Refinery outages can cause localized or national supply shortages, pushing prices upward rapidly due to the inelastic nature of gasoline demand in the short term.
No, the market tracks the national average; while individual states vary significantly due to taxes and distribution costs, the outcome is determined solely by the aggregate national figure.
Significant legislative or executive changes regarding energy policy are typically priced into the market by participants as they monitor policy impacts on supply and production costs.