| Outcome | Probability | Yes Bid | Yes Ask | 24h Change | Volume | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Above 4.115 | 0% | 0¢ | 0¢ | — | $0 | Trade → |
| Above 4.120 | 0% | 0¢ | 0¢ | — | $0 | Trade → |
| Above 4.125 | 0% | 0¢ | 0¢ | — | $0 | Trade → |
| Above 4.130 | 0% | 0¢ | 0¢ | — | $0 | Trade → |
| Above 4.135 | 0% | 0¢ | 0¢ | — | $0 | Trade → |
| Above 4.140 | 0% | 0¢ | 0¢ | — | $0 | Trade → |
| Above 4.145 | 0% | 0¢ | 0¢ | — | $0 | Trade → |
| Above 4.150 | 0% | 0¢ | 0¢ | — | $0 | Trade → |
| Above 4.155 | 0% | 0¢ | 0¢ | — | $0 | Trade → |
| Above 4.160 | 0% | 0¢ | 0¢ | — | $0 | Trade → |
| Above 4.165 | 0% | 0¢ | 0¢ | — | $0 | Trade → |
| Above 4.170 | 0% | 0¢ | 0¢ | — | $0 | Trade → |
| Above 4.175 | 0% | 0¢ | 0¢ | — | $0 | Trade → |
| Above 4.180 | 0% | 0¢ | 0¢ | — | $0 | Trade → |
| Above 4.185 | 0% | 0¢ | 0¢ | — | $0 | Trade → |
| Above 4.190 | 0% | 0¢ | 0¢ | — | $0 | Trade → |
| Above 4.195 | 0% | 0¢ | 0¢ | — | $0 | Trade → |
| Above 4.200 | 0% | 0¢ | 0¢ | — | $0 | Trade → |
| Above 4.205 | 0% | 0¢ | 0¢ | — | $0 | Trade → |
| Above 4.210 | 0% | 0¢ | 0¢ | — | $0 | Trade → |
This market tracks the national average price of regular gasoline in the United States on April 8, 2026. Fluctuations in fuel prices directly impact consumer discretionary spending and serve as a key indicator of broader macroeconomic health.
Gas prices are historically cyclical, often peaking during the summer driving season or periods of geopolitical tension. Factors such as crude oil supply dynamics, seasonal refinery maintenance, and the transition to summer-blend gasoline formulas heavily influence price action in early spring. These trends are closely monitored by policymakers and analysts as a proxy for inflationary pressure.
The market prices reflect a collective forecast of supply-demand equilibrium at a specific future date, aggregating data from industry experts and traders.
The market relies on the official U.S. Energy Information Administration (EIA) national average gas price data for the specified date.
April often marks the beginning of the 'spring transition,' where refineries shift production to more expensive summer-grade gasoline blends, potentially exerting upward pressure on prices.
Predicting price points for specific dates allows traders to hedge against energy volatility or speculate on long-term macroeconomic forecasts rather than current spot market prices.
Energy policy is often a focal point during political cycles; changes in regulation, trade policy, or drilling permits can influence investor sentiment toward long-term energy pricing.
Unexpected events, such as extreme weather or infrastructure failure, are 'black swan' risks that can cause rapid shifts in market sentiment and pricing.