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Economics OPEN

US gas prices on Apr 6, 2026

📊 $0 traded 🏦 Source: Kalshi
Total Volume
$0
Open Interest
0
Active Markets
15
Markets
15

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Prices in cents (1¢ = 1%). Trade on Kalshi.

All Outcomes (15)
Outcome Probability Yes Bid Yes Ask 24h Change Volume
Above 4.070 0%
$0 Trade →
Above 4.075 0%
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Above 4.080 0%
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Above 4.085 0%
$0 Trade →
Above 4.090 0%
$0 Trade →
Above 4.095 0%
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Above 4.100 0%
$0 Trade →
Above 4.105 0%
$0 Trade →
Above 4.110 0%
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Above 4.115 0%
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Above 4.120 0%
$0 Trade →
Above 4.125 0%
$0 Trade →
Above 4.130 0%
$0 Trade →
Above 4.135 0%
$0 Trade →
Above 4.140 0%
$0 Trade →

About This Market

This market tracks the average retail price of regular gasoline in the United States on April 6, 2026. It serves as a benchmark for consumer sentiment, inflationary pressure, and the broader energy market outlook.

US gas prices are historically volatile, influenced by global crude oil supply, refinery capacity, and seasonal demand shifts. April typically marks the lead-up to the summer driving season, during which fuel prices often adjust in anticipation of increased consumption and the transition to summer-blend gasoline formulas.

The prices listed in this market represent the collective market expectation for the national average price per gallon, derived from official data sources.

Key Factors

Frequently Asked Questions

What data source determines the final price for this market?

The settlement is typically based on the official U.S. Energy Information Administration (EIA) national average retail gasoline price data for the specified timeframe.

Does this market account for regional differences in gas prices?

No, this market tracks the national average; individual state and city prices often deviate significantly due to local taxes, state-specific fuel standards, and distribution logistics.

How does the 'summer-blend' gasoline transition affect this date?

April is a critical transition period for fuel formulations; regulatory shifts to more expensive summer-grade gasoline often contribute to price volatility leading into the summer driving season.

What role does the U.S. Strategic Petroleum Reserve (SPR) play in this outcome?

Decisions by the federal government to release oil from or refill the SPR can influence supply-side pressure and market sentiment, which may manifest in retail prices.

Why is April 6, 2026 chosen as the target date?

This date provides a snapshot of energy costs heading into the second quarter, capturing the balance between winter storage drawdowns and the commencement of seasonal travel demand.

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