| Outcome | Probability | Yes Bid | Yes Ask | 24h Change | Volume | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Exactly 3.3% | 0% | 0¢ | 0¢ | — | $0 | Trade → |
| Exactly 3.4% | 0% | 0¢ | 0¢ | — | $0 | Trade → |
| Exactly 3.5% | 0% | 0¢ | 0¢ | — | $0 | Trade → |
| Exactly 3.6% | 0% | 0¢ | 0¢ | — | $0 | Trade → |
| Exactly 3.7% | 0% | 0¢ | 0¢ | — | $0 | Trade → |
| Exactly 3.8% | 0% | 0¢ | 0¢ | — | $0 | Trade → |
| Exactly 3.9% | 0% | 0¢ | 0¢ | — | $0 | Trade → |
| Exactly 4.0% | 0% | 0¢ | 0¢ | — | $0 | Trade → |
| Exactly 4.1% | 0% | 0¢ | 0¢ | — | $0 | Trade → |
| Exactly 4.2% | 0% | 0¢ | 0¢ | — | $0 | Trade → |
| Exactly 4.3% | 0% | 0¢ | 0¢ | — | $0 | Trade → |
| Exactly 4.4% | 0% | 0¢ | 0¢ | — | $0 | Trade → |
| Exactly 4.5% | 0% | 0¢ | 0¢ | — | $0 | Trade → |
| Exactly 4.6% | 0% | 0¢ | 0¢ | — | $0 | Trade → |
| Exactly 4.7% | 0% | 0¢ | 0¢ | — | $0 | Trade → |
| Exactly 4.8% | 0% | 0¢ | 0¢ | — | $0 | Trade → |
| Exactly 4.9% | 0% | 0¢ | 0¢ | — | $0 | Trade → |
| Exactly 5.0% | 0% | 0¢ | 0¢ | — | $0 | Trade → |
| Exactly 5.1% | 0% | 0¢ | 0¢ | — | $0 | Trade → |
| Exactly 5.2% | 0% | 0¢ | 0¢ | — | $0 | Trade → |
| Exactly 5.3% | 0% | 0¢ | 0¢ | — | $0 | Trade → |
| Exactly 5.4% | 0% | 0¢ | 0¢ | — | $0 | Trade → |
| Exactly 5.5% | 0% | 0¢ | 0¢ | — | $0 | Trade → |
This market asks what the national unemployment rate will be for September 2026; the outcome matters because the unemployment rate is a core indicator of labor-market health that influences policymakers, investors, and businesses.
Unemployment rates move with hiring, layoffs, labor-force participation, seasonal patterns, and macro shocks. The September reading is watched for late-summer labor-market trends and helps shape expectations about growth and monetary policy.
Market prices represent the collective view of traders about which reported values are most likely and how confident the market is across different outcome buckets; prices update as new data and policy news arrive.
Settlement follows the event's published rules; typically the market resolves to the official national unemployment-rate release for September 2026 (for example, the national statistics agency's monthly employment report). Check the event page’s settlement text for the exact source and timing.
The 23 outcomes correspond to the discrete contracts listed on the event page — usually a set of value buckets or exact-value options that together cover the range of plausible reported unemployment rates. See the outcome labels on the market page to understand the mapping.
Prices reflect the market’s aggregated expectations but low total volume indicates limited liquidity; with light trading, prices can be more sensitive to individual trades and may not fully reflect broader information until more volume arrives.
The event will use whichever series is specified in the market’s settlement rules—often the seasonally adjusted national unemployment rate. Always confirm the exact series named on the event page before trading.
Key movers include the monthly employment/payroll reports before September, weekly initial claims, major policy announcements from the central bank or fiscal authorities, large-scale layoff or hiring announcements, and any unexpected macro or supply shocks.