| Outcome | Probability | Yes Bid | Yes Ask | 24h Change | Volume | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Above 4.6% | 0% | 0¢ | 0¢ | — | $0 | Trade → |
| Above 4.7% | 0% | 0¢ | 0¢ | — | $0 | Trade → |
| Above 4.8% | 0% | 0¢ | 0¢ | — | $0 | Trade → |
| Above 4.9% | 0% | 0¢ | 0¢ | — | $0 | Trade → |
| Above 5.0% | 0% | 0¢ | 0¢ | — | $0 | Trade → |
| Above 5.1% | 0% | 0¢ | 0¢ | — | $0 | Trade → |
| Above 5.2% | 0% | 0¢ | 0¢ | — | $0 | Trade → |
| Above 5.3% | 0% | 0¢ | 0¢ | — | $0 | Trade → |
| Above 5.4% | 0% | 0¢ | 0¢ | — | $0 | Trade → |
| Above 5.5% | 0% | 0¢ | 0¢ | — | $0 | Trade → |
| Above 5.6% | 0% | 0¢ | 0¢ | — | $0 | Trade → |
| Above 5.7% | 0% | 0¢ | 0¢ | — | $0 | Trade → |
| Above 5.8% | 0% | 0¢ | 0¢ | — | $0 | Trade → |
| Above 5.9% | 0% | 0¢ | 0¢ | — | $0 | Trade → |
| Above 6.0% | 0% | 0¢ | 0¢ | — | $0 | Trade → |
This market tracks the official UK unemployment rate for the period ending in March 2026 as reported by the Office for National Statistics (ONS). It serves as a benchmark for assessing the health of the British labor market and the long-term impact of fiscal and monetary policies.
The UK labor market has faced significant structural shifts following the post-pandemic recovery, characterized by fluctuations in participation rates and wage growth. This figure reflects the equilibrium between labor supply, economic growth cycles, and the Bank of England's interest rate trajectory leading up to early 2026.
Market prices represent the collective consensus on where the unemployment rate will settle, reflecting how participants weigh economic forecasts against potential market shocks.
The official data is released by the UK Office for National Statistics (ONS).
Yes, the rate covers the standard ONS measure of unemployment for those aged 16 and over.
The market typically resolves based on the primary release, unless specified otherwise by the exchange's settlement rules regarding official revisions.
Higher interest rates aimed at curbing inflation can dampen economic activity, potentially leading to higher unemployment, while lower rates aim to stimulate hiring.
Yes, markets of this nature typically reference the ONS seasonally adjusted unemployment rate to provide a consistent comparison over time.