| Outcome | Probability | Yes Bid | Yes Ask | 24h Change | Volume | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Above 2.7% | 0% | 0¢ | 0¢ | — | $0 | Trade → |
| Above 2.8% | 0% | 0¢ | 0¢ | — | $0 | Trade → |
| Above 2.9% | 0% | 0¢ | 0¢ | — | $0 | Trade → |
| Above 3% | 0% | 0¢ | 0¢ | — | $0 | Trade → |
| Above 3.1% | 0% | 0¢ | 0¢ | — | $0 | Trade → |
| Above 3.2% | 0% | 0¢ | 0¢ | — | $0 | Trade → |
| Above 3.3% | 0% | 0¢ | 0¢ | — | $0 | Trade → |
| Above 3.4% | 0% | 0¢ | 0¢ | — | $0 | Trade → |
| Above 3.5% | 0% | 0¢ | 0¢ | — | $0 | Trade → |
| Above 3.6% | 0% | 0¢ | 0¢ | — | $0 | Trade → |
| Above 3.7% | 0% | 0¢ | 0¢ | — | $0 | Trade → |
| Above 3.8% | 0% | 0¢ | 0¢ | — | $0 | Trade → |
| Above 3.9% | 0% | 0¢ | 0¢ | — | $0 | Trade → |
| Above 4% | 0% | 0¢ | 0¢ | — | $0 | Trade → |
| Above 4.1% | 0% | 0¢ | 0¢ | — | $0 | Trade → |
This market tracks the official UK Consumer Prices Index (CPI) year-over-year inflation rate for March 2026 as reported by the Office for National Statistics (ONS). It serves as a benchmark for participants to gauge expectations regarding the UK's long-term economic stability and price trajectory.
The UK economy has faced significant inflationary pressures following global supply chain disruptions and shifts in energy pricing. Predicting the inflation rate for 2026 involves assessing the effectiveness of Bank of England monetary policies and fiscal interventions in stabilizing the cost of living. Historical volatility in headline inflation highlights the complexity of forecasting these macroeconomic figures over multi-year periods.
The prices on this market reflect the collective forecast of participants regarding where the March 2026 inflation rate will land relative to the available outcome ranges. Market activity indicates how investors perceive the future impact of current central bank interest rate settings.
The official monthly Consumer Prices Index (CPI) report published by the UK Office for National Statistics (ONS).
The Bank of England utilizes interest rate changes to manage demand; higher rates generally aim to cool inflation, while lower rates can stimulate spending and upward price pressure.
This market tracks the headline UK CPI year-over-year inflation rate, which includes the prices of all goods and services in the consumer basket.
The market resolution is typically based on the initial ONS release for that specific period; subsequent historical revisions generally do not trigger a change in the resolved outcome.
March 2026 represents a long-range economic milestone where the cumulative effects of post-pandemic policy adjustments and mid-decade structural shifts in the UK economy will be fully realized in the CPI data.