| Outcome | Probability | Yes Bid | Yes Ask | 24h Change | Volume | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Above -0.5% | 0% | 0¢ | 0¢ | — | $0 | Trade → |
| Above -0.4% | 0% | 0¢ | 0¢ | — | $0 | Trade → |
| Above -0.3% | 0% | 0¢ | 0¢ | — | $0 | Trade → |
| Above -0.2% | 0% | 0¢ | 0¢ | — | $0 | Trade → |
| Above -0.1% | 0% | 0¢ | 0¢ | — | $0 | Trade → |
| Above 0.0% | 0% | 0¢ | 0¢ | — | $0 | Trade → |
| Above 0.1% | 0% | 0¢ | 0¢ | — | $0 | Trade → |
| Above 0.2% | 0% | 0¢ | 0¢ | — | $0 | Trade → |
| Above 0.3% | 0% | 0¢ | 0¢ | — | $0 | Trade → |
| Above 0.4% | 0% | 0¢ | 0¢ | — | $0 | Trade → |
| Above 0.5% | 0% | 0¢ | 0¢ | — | $0 | Trade → |
| Above 0.6% | 0% | 0¢ | 0¢ | — | $0 | Trade → |
| Above 0.7% | 0% | 0¢ | 0¢ | — | $0 | Trade → |
| Above 0.8% | 0% | 0¢ | 0¢ | — | $0 | Trade → |
| Above 0.9% | 0% | 0¢ | 0¢ | — | $0 | Trade → |
This market tracks the official monthly change in the United Kingdom's Gross Domestic Product for March 2026. As a primary measure of economic activity, this data point provides critical insight into the health and growth trajectory of the British economy.
The Office for National Statistics (ONS) releases monthly GDP figures to capture the pulse of the UK economy across services, production, and construction sectors. These monthly readings are closely monitored by the Bank of England and market participants to gauge the impact of fiscal policy, interest rates, and global economic headwinds. Frequent volatility in these figures often reflects broader cyclical trends and seasonal adjustments within the UK market.
The market prices reflect the collective expectation of economic performance, with participants betting on whether the final ONS reading will fall into specific growth or contraction buckets.
The Office for National Statistics typically publishes monthly GDP data roughly six weeks after the end of the reference month; market participants should monitor the ONS official release calendar for the specific date in May 2026.
This market tracks the percentage change in the UK's monthly GDP for March 2026 compared to February 2026, as reported by the ONS.
Settlement is typically based on the initial estimate provided by the ONS; subsequent revisions by the agency do not retroactively change the outcome of this market.
Extreme weather events in March can lead to temporary declines in construction or retail output, which may create noise in the month-over-month data regardless of underlying economic health.
Yes, the ONS reports 'real' GDP figures, which are adjusted for inflation to represent changes in the volume of goods and services produced.