| Outcome | Probability | Yes Bid | Yes Ask | 24h Change | Volume | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Before Apr 1, 2026 | 0% | 0¢ | 0¢ | — | $0 | Resolved |
| Before May 1, 2026 | 0% | 0¢ | 0¢ | — | $0 | Resolved |
| Before Jun 1, 2026 | 0% | 0¢ | 0¢ | — | $0 | Trade → |
| Before Jul 1, 2026 | 0% | 0¢ | 0¢ | — | $0 | Trade → |
| Before Aug 1, 2026 | 0% | 0¢ | 0¢ | — | $0 | Trade → |
This market asks whether Tulsi Gabbard will be out of the office of Director of National Intelligence. It matters because leadership changes at the DNI affect intelligence priorities, interagency coordination, and oversight questions.
Tulsi Gabbard is a public figure with prior elected office and national political exposure; the DNI is a presidentially appointed, Senate-confirmed position that oversees the U.S. intelligence community. Whether a particular individual remains in that role depends on nomination, confirmation, presidential decisions, congressional actions, and personal choices.
Prediction market prices reflect collective expectations about which outcome will occur by the market's resolution rules; they should be read as a summary of market participants' views, not as forecasts guaranteed to happen.
The market's resolution will depend on the event's specific definition of 'out'—common interpretations include resignation, removal, end of confirmed term, or failure to be confirmed. Check the market's official resolution criteria to know which of these scenarios counts as 'out.'
A failed or stalled confirmation can be a reason a person is not serving as DNI, but whether it counts as 'out' depends on the market's stated rules; some markets distinguish between never-confirmed nominees and incumbent removals, so verify the outcome definitions.
The President can remove or replace the DNI; the DNI can resign voluntarily; the Senate's confirmation process determines initial appointment; Congress can seek removal through impeachment—each route has different legal and political mechanics that could lead to the individual being out.
Whether acting service counts as 'in' or 'out' depends on the market's resolution language: some markets treat any interruption from confirmed service as 'out,' while others consider only a permanent departure. Consult the event's resolution policy for specifics.
Past DNI turnovers show that confirmation fights, administration leadership changes, political controversies, and major intelligence incidents can accelerate departures; those patterns give context but do not determine this market's outcome — check current news and official actions for real-time signals.