| Outcome | Probability | Yes Bid | Yes Ask | 24h Change | Volume | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Above 1.8 million | 0% | 0¢ | 0¢ | — | $0 | Trade → |
| Above 1.85 million | 0% | 0¢ | 0¢ | — | $0 | Trade → |
| Above 1.9 million | 0% | 0¢ | 0¢ | — | $0 | Trade → |
| Above 1.95 million | 0% | 0¢ | 0¢ | — | $0 | Trade → |
| Above 2 million | 0% | 0¢ | 0¢ | — | $0 | Trade → |
| Above 2.05 million | 0% | 0¢ | 0¢ | — | $0 | Trade → |
| Above 2.1 million | 0% | 0¢ | 0¢ | — | $0 | Trade → |
| Above 2.15 million | 0% | 0¢ | 0¢ | — | $0 | Trade → |
| Above 2.2 million | 0% | 0¢ | 0¢ | — | $0 | Trade → |
| Above 2.25 million | 0% | 0¢ | 0¢ | — | $0 | Trade → |
| Above 2.3 million | 0% | 0¢ | 0¢ | — | $0 | Trade → |
| Above 2.35 million | 0% | 0¢ | 0¢ | — | $0 | Trade → |
| Above 2.4 million | 0% | 0¢ | 0¢ | — | $0 | Trade → |
| Above 2.45 million | 0% | 0¢ | 0¢ | — | $0 | Trade → |
| Above 2.5 million | 0% | 0¢ | 0¢ | — | $0 | Trade → |
| Above 2.55 million | 0% | 0¢ | 0¢ | — | $0 | Trade → |
| Above 2.6 million | 0% | 0¢ | 0¢ | — | $0 | Trade → |
| Above 2.65 million | 0% | 0¢ | 0¢ | — | $0 | Trade → |
| Above 2.7 million | 0% | 0¢ | 0¢ | — | $0 | Trade → |
| Above 2.75 million | 0% | 0¢ | 0¢ | — | $0 | Trade → |
| Above 2.8 million | 0% | 0¢ | 0¢ | — | $0 | Trade → |
This market tracks the average daily volume of passengers screened at TSA checkpoints across the United States between April 6 and April 12, 2026. This metric serves as a key high-frequency economic indicator for assessing the health of the travel and tourism sectors.
The Transportation Security Administration (TSA) releases daily throughput data, which is widely used by economists to gauge consumer discretionary spending and mobility trends. April typically represents a transitional period in travel demand following the conclusion of spring break cycles and preceding the summer peak season. Tracking these figures helps investors understand shifts in household behavior and general economic confidence.
Market prices represent the collective expectation of future daily passenger averages, where traders weigh macroeconomic conditions against historical seasonal travel patterns.
The market outcome is determined by the official daily passenger throughput data published by the Transportation Security Administration (TSA).
No, the TSA figures specifically track passenger screenings and do not include airport staff or flight crews.
The average is calculated by taking the sum of all passenger throughput counts reported by the TSA for these seven days and dividing that total by seven.
Historical data provides a seasonal baseline, but traders must adjust expectations based on current economic growth, industry capacity, and unique calendar-specific variables.
Settlement is typically based on the final, verified data released by the TSA for the specified dates; standard market rules apply for data finality.