| Outcome | Probability | Yes Bid | Yes Ask | 24h Change | Volume | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 41.2 or below | 0% | 0¢ | 0¢ | — | $0 | Trade → |
| 41.3 to 41.5 | 0% | 0¢ | 0¢ | — | $0 | Trade → |
| 41.6 to 41.8 | 0% | 0¢ | 0¢ | — | $0 | Trade → |
| 41.9 to 42.1 | 0% | 0¢ | 0¢ | — | $0 | Trade → |
| 42.2 to 42.4 | 0% | 0¢ | 0¢ | — | $0 | Trade → |
| 42.5 to 42.7 | 0% | 0¢ | 0¢ | — | $0 | Trade → |
| 42.8 to 43.0 | 0% | 0¢ | 0¢ | — | $0 | Trade → |
| 43.1 or above | 0% | 0¢ | 0¢ | — | $0 | Trade → |
This market asks what former President Donald Trump's national approval rating will be on March 27, 2026. It matters because approval ratings are a widely used barometer of public sentiment and can influence media narratives, campaign strategy, and elite behavior.
Trump's approval rating has historically moved with political events, economic conditions, and legal and campaign developments; voters' views can shift rapidly in response to major news. In the run-up to March 27, 2026, factors such as ongoing campaigns, litigation, administration actions by rivals, and macroeconomic trends will shape the environment in which this rating is measured.
Market prices aggregate traders' expectations about what the approved measurement will be on the specified date and update as new information arrives. They are not a single poll result but a continuously refreshed signal that complements, rather than replaces, traditional polling and qualitative analysis.
The event measures the national approval rating attributed to Donald Trump on the calendar date Mar 27, 2026, as defined by the market's resolution rules. Read the market description and resolution criteria to see whether the market uses a specific poll, a published average, or another named source to determine the official value.
Resolution timing depends on the market's stated settlement rules. Typically the market resolves after the specified date once the designated poll or data source covering Mar 27, 2026 is published and verified; consult the event page for the exact resolution process and any delays or tie-break rules.
The market's description lists the authoritative source(s) used for settlement. Some markets use a single named national poll, others use an official aggregator or a specified methodology; if the event description is silent, contact the market operator or check the rules for how an official value will be chosen.
Events most likely to move the market include new legal rulings or indictments, major campaign announcements, widely covered policy actions, sudden economic data releases that alter public perceptions, and international crises that dominate the news cycle.
Rapid moves reflect traders updating expectations in response to new information or shifts in sentiment; they can signal increased uncertainty or the market incorporating one-off events. Consider the source and persistence of new information and remember that short-term volatility may not reflect long-term trends.