| Outcome | Probability | Yes Bid | Yes Ask | 24h Change | Volume | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| <80 | 0% | 0¢ | 0¢ | — | $0 | Trade → |
| 80-99 | 0% | 0¢ | 0¢ | — | $0 | Trade → |
| 100-119 | 0% | 0¢ | 0¢ | — | $0 | Trade → |
| 120-139 | 0% | 0¢ | 0¢ | — | $0 | Trade → |
| 140-159 | 0% | 0¢ | 0¢ | — | $0 | Trade → |
| 160-179 | 0% | 0¢ | 0¢ | — | $0 | Trade → |
| 180-199 | 0% | 0¢ | 0¢ | — | $0 | Trade → |
| 200-220 | 0% | 0¢ | 0¢ | — | $0 | Trade → |
| >220 | 0% | 0¢ | 0¢ | — | $0 | Trade → |
This market tracks the frequency of Donald Trump's activity on the Truth Social platform during the week of April 19 through April 25. It serves as a gauge for the former president's digital communication strategy and his reliance on the platform as a primary media outlet.
Donald Trump launched Truth Social in 2022 following his suspension from major social media platforms, positioning it as a cornerstone of his direct-to-voter communication strategy. His activity levels on the platform often fluctuate in response to legal proceedings, campaign developments, and breaking news cycles. Tracking these posts provides insight into his reaction time and engagement style during key political windows.
Participants in this market are betting on the total number of posts authored by the account during the specified timeframe, reflecting expectations of his public visibility and reaction to current events.
A post is defined as any original 'Truth' published by the official Donald J. Trump account; reposts or 'ReTruths' are typically excluded unless otherwise specified by the market rules.
No, this market tracks only the content generated by the primary Donald J. Trump account as identified on the Truth Social platform.
Posts are counted based on the Eastern Time (ET) zone, encompassing the full 24-hour cycle from the start of April 19 through the end of April 25.
In the event of platform outages, the count remains restricted to posts successfully published and visible on the platform's public feed.
The market typically tracks posts that exist on the platform at the time of verification; posts deleted by the user before the market closes are generally not included.