| Outcome | Probability | Yes Bid | Yes Ask | 24h Change | Volume | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| <80 | 0% | 0¢ | 0¢ | — | $0 | Trade → |
| 80-99 | 0% | 0¢ | 0¢ | — | $0 | Trade → |
| 100-119 | 0% | 0¢ | 0¢ | — | $0 | Trade → |
| 120-139 | 0% | 0¢ | 0¢ | — | $0 | Trade → |
| 140-159 | 0% | 0¢ | 0¢ | — | $0 | Trade → |
| 160-179 | 0% | 0¢ | 0¢ | — | $0 | Trade → |
| 180-199 | 0% | 0¢ | 0¢ | — | $0 | Trade → |
| 200-220 | 0% | 0¢ | 0¢ | — | $0 | Trade → |
| >220 | 0% | 0¢ | 0¢ | — | $0 | Trade → |
This market tracks the frequency of Donald Trump's activity on the Truth Social platform during the specified weekly window. It serves as a metric for gauging his direct digital communication strategy and engagement levels with his primary media outlet.
Truth Social remains the central hub for Donald Trump’s direct communication with his base, often serving as a venue for policy announcements, political commentary, and rebuttals to mainstream media coverage. His activity levels on the platform fluctuate based on current events, legal proceedings, and campaign cycles. Monitoring these posts provides insight into his reactive messaging and broader political strategy during busy news weeks.
Market prices represent the collective expectation regarding the number of posts Trump will publish during the specified date range. Prices fluctuate as traders incorporate news, travel schedules, and historical posting habits into their assessments.
Posts typically include original messages, 'retruths' (shares), and replies made from Donald Trump’s verified account on the Truth Social platform.
The market relies on observable activity; in the event of an extended platform-wide outage, resolution is typically determined by the volume of posts successfully logged during the functional portion of the timeframe.
Unless otherwise specified, the market follows standard Eastern Time (ET) for the beginning and end of the designated dates.
Generally, activity is measured based on the post existing at the time of monitoring; if a post is visible within the weekly window, it is typically counted regardless of later deletion.
Periods of heightened campaign activity often correlate with increased volume as the candidate uses the platform to mobilize supporters and respond to opponents in real time.