| Outcome | Probability | Yes Bid | Yes Ask | 24h Change | Volume | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| <80 | 0% | 0¢ | 0¢ | — | $0 | Trade → |
| 80-99 | 0% | 0¢ | 0¢ | — | $0 | Trade → |
| 100-119 | 0% | 0¢ | 0¢ | — | $0 | Trade → |
| 120-139 | 0% | 0¢ | 0¢ | — | $0 | Trade → |
| 140-159 | 0% | 0¢ | 0¢ | — | $0 | Trade → |
| 160-179 | 0% | 0¢ | 0¢ | — | $0 | Trade → |
| 180-199 | 0% | 0¢ | 0¢ | — | $0 | Trade → |
| 200-220 | 0% | 0¢ | 0¢ | — | $0 | Trade → |
| >220 | 0% | 0¢ | 0¢ | — | $0 | Trade → |
This market asks whether Donald Trump will publish any posts on Truth Social during the week of March 22–28. It matters because his platform activity can signal campaign messaging, reactions to news, and influence public attention.
Trump has frequently used Truth Social as a direct communications channel in recent years, with posting patterns tied to campaign events, legal developments, and news cycles. Platform access, legal constraints, and strategic messaging choices have all historically affected whether and how often he posts.
Market prices reflect traders' aggregated expectations about whether a qualifying post will appear during the specified week and update as new information arrives. Treat prices as real-time indicators of collective sentiment rather than fixed forecasts.
A qualifying post is typically any public message published by the specified Trump account on Truth Social during the event window. If the contract names a specific handle or account, only content posted by that account normally counts; always confirm the contract text for exact definitions.
The official start and end times and the governing time zone are set by the market contract; many markets use a specified local or UTC time. Check the contract page for the precise timezone and cutoff times that determine whether a post falls within 3/22–3/28.
Many markets count posts that were publicly posted during the event window even if they are later deleted or edited, but treatment can vary by contract. Consult the market's resolution rules to see how deletions or edits are handled for this event.
Unless the contract explicitly includes additional accounts, only posts from the specified Trump account count; posts from campaign accounts, surrogates, or other individuals typically do not count. Verify the listed account(s) in the contract to be sure.
Announcements of rallies or events, major legal filings or hearings, high-profile interviews, sudden platform outages or moderation actions, and breaking news that prompts direct commentary are the main drivers that can shift trader expectations during the week.