| Outcome | Probability | Yes Bid | Yes Ask | 24h Change | Volume | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Above 1.39% | 0% | 0¢ | 0¢ | — | $0 | Trade → |
| Above 1.44% | 0% | 0¢ | 0¢ | — | $0 | Trade → |
| Above 1.49% | 0% | 0¢ | 0¢ | — | $0 | Trade → |
| Above 1.54% | 0% | 0¢ | 0¢ | — | $0 | Trade → |
| Above 1.59% | 0% | 0¢ | 0¢ | — | $0 | Trade → |
| Above 1.64% | 0% | 0¢ | 0¢ | — | $0 | Trade → |
| Above 1.69% | 0% | 0¢ | 0¢ | — | $0 | Trade → |
| Above 1.74% | 0% | 0¢ | 0¢ | — | $0 | Trade → |
| Above 1.79% | 0% | 0¢ | 0¢ | — | $0 | Trade → |
| Above 1.84% | 0% | 0¢ | 0¢ | — | $0 | Trade → |
| Above 1.89% | 0% | 0¢ | 0¢ | — | $0 | Trade → |
| Above 1.94% | 0% | 0¢ | 0¢ | — | $0 | Trade → |
| Above 1.99% | 0% | 0¢ | 0¢ | — | $0 | Trade → |
| Above 2.04% | 0% | 0¢ | 0¢ | — | $0 | Trade → |
| Above 2.09% | 0% | 0¢ | 0¢ | — | $0 | Trade → |
This market predicts the Truflation US Consumer Price Index (CPI) year-over-year percentage change as of April 22, 2026. It serves as a decentralized gauge for market expectations regarding real-time inflationary pressures compared to traditional government reporting.
Truflation utilizes a proprietary methodology that aggregates millions of data points across various sectors to provide a more frequent and granular view of inflation than the monthly Bureau of Labor Statistics (BLS) reports. By capturing market-based price shifts in real-time, this metric aims to provide a more responsive snapshot of consumer purchasing power. Analysts monitor this data to anticipate potential discrepancies between independent economic indices and official government figures.
Market prices represent the collective expectation of participants regarding where the Truflation index will land on the specified date. Users should consider how deviations from historical CPI trends and evolving monetary policies influence these sentiment-driven valuations.
Truflation provides a daily updated index based on a broader and more frequent data set, whereas the BLS reports are released monthly with a lag and use different weighting methodologies.
Because the Truflation index is updated in near real-time, sudden economic shocks such as a spike in energy prices or supply chain disruptions will be reflected in the index value immediately, unlike traditional lagging indicators.
The market resolves based on the official data published by Truflation at their specified reporting time for the date of April 22, 2026.
The year-over-year comparison accounts for seasonal variations and provides a clear picture of whether inflationary pressure is accelerating or decelerating compared to the same period in 2025.
Traders should monitor the Federal Open Market Committee (FOMC) meeting schedule and upcoming major economic data releases that occur in the weeks preceding April 22, 2026, as these frequently drive market sentiment.