| Outcome | Probability | Yes Bid | Yes Ask | 24h Change | Volume | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Above 1.48% | 0% | 0¢ | 0¢ | — | $0 | Trade → |
| Above 1.53% | 0% | 0¢ | 0¢ | — | $0 | Trade → |
| Above 1.58% | 0% | 0¢ | 0¢ | — | $0 | Trade → |
| Above 1.63% | 0% | 0¢ | 0¢ | — | $0 | Trade → |
| Above 1.68% | 0% | 0¢ | 0¢ | — | $0 | Trade → |
| Above 1.73% | 0% | 0¢ | 0¢ | — | $0 | Trade → |
| Above 1.78% | 0% | 0¢ | 0¢ | — | $0 | Trade → |
| Above 1.83% | 0% | 0¢ | 0¢ | — | $0 | Trade → |
| Above 1.88% | 0% | 0¢ | 0¢ | — | $0 | Trade → |
| Above 1.93% | 0% | 0¢ | 0¢ | — | $0 | Trade → |
| Above 1.98% | 0% | 0¢ | 0¢ | — | $0 | Trade → |
| Above 2.03% | 0% | 0¢ | 0¢ | — | $0 | Trade → |
| Above 2.08% | 0% | 0¢ | 0¢ | — | $0 | Trade → |
| Above 2.13% | 0% | 0¢ | 0¢ | — | $0 | Trade → |
| Above 2.18% | 0% | 0¢ | 0¢ | — | $0 | Trade → |
This market tracks the Truflation US Consumer Price Index (CPI) year-over-year growth rate for April 16, 2026. It serves as a real-time barometer for market participants to hedge against or speculate on the evolution of inflation trends as measured by independent, data-driven sources.
Truflation provides an alternative inflation metric by utilizing massive, daily-updated datasets that often diverge from traditional government-reported CPI. By incorporating real-time price data from diverse online sources, it aims to offer a faster and more granular look at the cost of living. Traders monitor this to anticipate how macroeconomic pressures may impact broader economic policy and market sentiment.
The current market pricing reflects the collective anticipation of market participants regarding the specific inflation range expected on the target date.
Truflation uses high-frequency, real-time data from millions of items, whereas the BLS relies heavily on monthly surveys and periodically updated baskets, leading to potential differences in methodology and reporting lag.
The market typically tracks the official index value provided by the source; traders should monitor official updates from the data provider for any methodological adjustments.
This market is specifically tied to the Truflation data feed on that date, which operates independently of the fixed release schedules dictated by government agencies.
Not necessarily; while both track inflation, their methodologies, basket weightings, and data sources differ, often resulting in varying figures.
The outcome is determined by the specific year-over-year percentage change reported by Truflation for the date of April 16, 2026, corresponding to the available market brackets.