| Outcome | Probability | Yes Bid | Yes Ask | 24h Change | Volume | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Above 1150.40 | 0% | 0¢ | 0¢ | — | $0 | Trade → |
| Above 1160.40 | 0% | 0¢ | 0¢ | — | $0 | Trade → |
| Above 1170.40 | 0% | 0¢ | 0¢ | — | $0 | Trade → |
| Above 1180.40 | 0% | 0¢ | 0¢ | — | $0 | Trade → |
| Above 1190.40 | 0% | 0¢ | 0¢ | — | $0 | Trade → |
| Above 1200.40 | 0% | 0¢ | 0¢ | — | $0 | Trade → |
| Above 1210.40 | 0% | 0¢ | 0¢ | — | $0 | Trade → |
| Above 1220.40 | 0% | 0¢ | 0¢ | — | $0 | Trade → |
| Above 1230.40 | 0% | 0¢ | 0¢ | — | $0 | Trade → |
| Above 1240.40 | 0% | 0¢ | 0¢ | — | $0 | Trade → |
| Above 1250.40 | 0% | 0¢ | 0¢ | — | $0 | Trade → |
| Above 1260.40 | 0% | 0¢ | 0¢ | — | $0 | Trade → |
| Above 1270.40 | 0% | 0¢ | 0¢ | — | $0 | Trade → |
| Above 1280.40 | 0% | 0¢ | 0¢ | — | $0 | Trade → |
| Above 1290.40 | 0% | 0¢ | 0¢ | — | $0 | Trade → |
This market tracks the Truflation EV Commodity Index on April 22, 2026, serving as a barometer for the cost of essential raw materials used in electric vehicle manufacturing. It allows participants to speculate on the inflationary pressures impacting the automotive supply chain.
The index aggregates price data for critical minerals and energy inputs necessary for EV production, such as lithium, cobalt, nickel, and copper. As global energy transitions accelerate, the volatility of these commodity prices becomes a primary concern for manufacturers, policymakers, and investors. This index provides a real-time, data-driven alternative to traditional government-reported inflation metrics.
Market prices reflect the collective anticipation of how supply chain disruptions, geopolitical shifts, and technological breakthroughs will influence battery material costs by the specified date.
The index tracks a basket of key raw materials essential for electric vehicle batteries and power electronics, reflecting the real-time cost of materials like lithium, cobalt, graphite, and nickel.
Unlike broad CPI measures that track finished consumer goods, this index focuses specifically on the upstream industrial costs related to the EV supply chain, offering a more targeted view of input inflation.
This date serves as the snapshot for the market's target, allowing traders to hedge or speculate on the medium-term impact of macroeconomic trends and industrial policies on EV production costs.
The market is designed to reflect new information immediately; any major supply chain disruption, such as mining policy changes or logistical crises, will be priced into the outcome until the market closes.
Yes, government incentives or trade tariffs that impact the accessibility or trade volume of raw battery materials can significantly sway the pricing reflected in the index.