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Economics OPEN

Truflation Breakfast Commodity Index for April 20, 2026

📊 $0 traded 🏦 Source: Kalshi
Total Volume
$0
Open Interest
0
Active Markets
15
Markets
15

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Prices in cents (1¢ = 1%). Trade on Kalshi.

All Outcomes (15)
Outcome Probability Yes Bid Yes Ask 24h Change Volume
Above 87.70 0%
$0 Trade →
Above 87.80 0%
$0 Trade →
Above 87.90 0%
$0 Trade →
Above 88.00 0%
$0 Trade →
Above 88.10 0%
$0 Trade →
Above 88.20 0%
$0 Trade →
Above 88.30 0%
$0 Trade →
Above 88.40 0%
$0 Trade →
Above 88.50 0%
$0 Trade →
Above 88.60 0%
$0 Trade →
Above 88.70 0%
$0 Trade →
Above 88.80 0%
$0 Trade →
Above 88.90 0%
$0 Trade →
Above 89.00 0%
$0 Trade →
Above 89.10 0%
$0 Trade →

About This Market

This market tracks the Truflation Breakfast Commodity Index for April 20, 2026, which serves as a real-time measure of the price volatility of common morning food staples. It provides a unique lens into inflationary pressures on essential goods that directly impact household grocery budgets.

The Breakfast Commodity Index aggregates real-time data on core agricultural products such as coffee, wheat, sugar, eggs, and dairy. Unlike traditional government-issued CPI metrics which can suffer from reporting lags, this index utilizes high-frequency data streams to reflect rapid changes in supply chain logistics, climate patterns, and global trade dynamics affecting breakfast prices.

Market prices represent the aggregate sentiment of participants regarding the projected cost of this index on the specified date, acting as a decentralized consensus on future grocery price trends.

Key Factors

Frequently Asked Questions

What components are included in the Truflation Breakfast Commodity Index?

The index is a weighted basket of primary breakfast-related commodities, typically including items such as coffee, sugar, wheat, dairy, and eggs, adjusted for real-time market pricing.

How does the April 20, 2026 measurement date impact the market?

The value on this specific date acts as the final settlement price, incorporating all volatility and inflationary pressures that have built up in the supply chain leading into the second quarter of 2026.

Where does the data for the Truflation Breakfast Commodity Index originate?

The index draws from Truflation's proprietary methodology, which pulls high-frequency, real-world pricing data from a vast array of commercial and public sources rather than waiting for monthly surveys.

Could extreme weather events significantly shift the outcome?

Yes, agricultural commodity prices are highly sensitive to weather patterns; a major harvest failure in a key producing region between now and April 2026 could cause a significant spike in the index.

What happens if the underlying data source changes its calculation method?

Settlement is governed by the specific contract rules defined by the platform; participants should review the official index definition provided by Truflation to understand potential methodology adjustments.

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