| Outcome | Probability | Yes Bid | Yes Ask | 24h Change | Volume | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Above 38.58T | 0% | 0¢ | 0¢ | — | $0 | Trade → |
| Above 38.63T | 0% | 0¢ | 0¢ | — | $0 | Trade → |
| Above 38.68T | 0% | 0¢ | 0¢ | — | $0 | Trade → |
| Above 38.73T | 0% | 0¢ | 0¢ | — | $0 | Trade → |
| Above 38.78T | 0% | 0¢ | 0¢ | — | $0 | Trade → |
| Above 38.83T | 0% | 0¢ | 0¢ | — | $0 | Trade → |
| Above 38.88T | 0% | 0¢ | 0¢ | — | $0 | Trade → |
| Above 38.93T | 0% | 0¢ | 0¢ | — | $0 | Trade → |
| Above 38.98T | 0% | 0¢ | 0¢ | — | $0 | Trade → |
| Above 39.03T | 0% | 0¢ | 0¢ | — | $0 | Trade → |
| Above 39.08T | 0% | 0¢ | 0¢ | — | $0 | Trade → |
| Above 39.13T | 0% | 0¢ | 0¢ | — | $0 | Trade → |
| Above 39.18T | 0% | 0¢ | 0¢ | — | $0 | Trade → |
| Above 39.23T | 0% | 0¢ | 0¢ | — | $0 | Trade → |
| Above 39.28T | 0% | 0¢ | 0¢ | — | $0 | Trade → |
This market tracks the total outstanding public debt of the United States as reported by the U.S. Department of the Treasury on April 16, 2026. This metric is a fundamental indicator of the federal government's fiscal health and long-term sustainability.
The U.S. national debt is influenced by annual budget deficits, interest rates on Treasury securities, and legislative decisions regarding spending and tax policy. As the debt approaches or exceeds statutory ceilings, it often becomes a centerpiece of political negotiations and macroeconomic discourse. Analysts monitor this figure closely to gauge the impact of current fiscal policy on future inflation and interest rate trajectories.
Market prices reflect the collective anticipation of fiscal outcomes based on current policy, economic growth projections, and upcoming federal budget cycles.
The official data is derived from the U.S. Department of the Treasury's 'Daily Treasury Statement' or equivalent official reporting.
Higher interest rates increase the cost of servicing existing debt, which often accelerates the rate of debt accumulation through higher interest payments.
This market tracks the total national debt, which includes both debt held by the public and intragovernmental holdings.
The date coincides with the post-tax-filing season, often providing a snapshot of the government's cash position following a primary period of revenue collection.
While inflation can reduce the real value of existing debt, it often necessitates higher nominal spending and leads to increased interest rates, creating complex pressures on the total figure.