| Outcome | Probability | Yes Bid | Yes Ask | 24h Change | Volume | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Josh Kimbrell | 0% | 0¢ | 0¢ | — | $0 | Trade → |
| Nancy Mace | 0% | 0¢ | 0¢ | — | $0 | Trade → |
| Ralph Norman | 0% | 0¢ | 0¢ | — | $0 | Trade → |
| Alan Wilson | 0% | 0¢ | 0¢ | — | $0 | Trade → |
| Pamela Evette | 0% | 0¢ | 0¢ | — | $0 | Trade → |
| Rom Reddy | 0% | 0¢ | 0¢ | — | $0 | Trade → |
This market asks which candidate will become the Republican nominee for governor of South Carolina; it matters because the nominee shapes the general election contest and signals intra-party strength and priorities.
South Carolina uses statewide primaries and can require a runoff if no candidate wins a majority, so the path to nomination often involves both first-round vote share and turnout dynamics. Historically, statewide organization, endorsement networks, and performance in key counties have been decisive for the Republican nominee.
Market prices reflect the collective expectations of traders based on news, polling, turnout, and fundraising; they update as new information arrives and should be read as a dynamic summary of market sentiment rather than a fixed prediction.
It resolves to the individual who is officially certified as the Republican nominee for governor under South Carolina and party procedures — typically the winner of the statewide primary or any subsequent runoff.
If no candidate wins a majority in the primary, a runoff between the top two vote-getters can determine the nominee; the market will continue to trade and update until the nominee is officially decided and certified.
Withdrawals can change trading dynamics and liquidity; regardless of interim status, the market ultimately resolves to the officially nominated candidate, so traders should consult the exchange's specific rules for treatment of withdrawn entries.
This market's close date is TBD; resolution will occur after the Republican nominee for governor is officially determined and certified according to state and party processes, and the exchange will announce the official resolution timing.
Past nominations show that strong statewide networks, early endorsements, success in low-turnout primary contests, and performance in key counties often predict outcomes; runoffs and late momentum swings have also altered expected results.