| Outcome | Probability | Yes Bid | Yes Ask | 24h Change | Volume | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Price to beat: $90.0941 | 0% | 0¢ | 0¢ | — | $0 | Trade → |
This market asks whether Solana (SOL) will be up or down over a 15-minute interval; it matters for traders wanting to express or hedge very short-term directional views on SOL.
SOL is a high-throughput blockchain token that often exhibits intraday volatility driven by liquidity, large traders, and news flow. A 15-minute horizon is dominated by market microstructure, algorithmic order flow, and any immediate-breaking headlines rather than fundamentals that play out over days or weeks.
Market odds on this market reflect the real-time consensus about SOL's direction over the specified 15-minute window and update as new information and order flow arrive; use them as a short-term directional signal, not a long-term valuation.
Resolution compares SOL's reference price at the start of the 15-minute interval with the reference price at the end; if the end price is higher it is 'Up', if lower it is 'Down', per the market's settlement definition.
The precise start and close timestamps are set by the market listing and are currently TBD; check the market page for the official interval once KALSHI posts it.
Settlement uses KALSHI's official reference price or index as defined in its rules; consult KALSHI's event documentation for the exact exchange partners or aggregation method.
Yes—high-impact social-media posts, announcements, or news arriving during the interval can trigger rapid price moves and change the market outcome within minutes.
Low traded volume increases sensitivity to single large orders and wider spreads, making short-interval outcomes more volatile and potentially less predictive of broader market sentiment.