| Outcome | Probability | Yes Bid | Yes Ask | 24h Change | Volume | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Price to beat: $88.8722 | 0% | 0¢ | 0¢ | — | $0 | Trade → |
This market asks whether Solana (SOL) will be trading higher or lower after a specific 15-minute interval; short-interval markets matter because they isolate immediate price moves and market sentiment over a very short horizon.
The contract is listed on KALSHI and resolves based on SOL price movement across a defined 15-minute window. Short-duration crypto contracts are sensitive to intraday liquidity, large orders, and fast-moving news, and they are used by traders to express views or hedge ultra-short-term exposure. The listing currently shows minimal volume, which often means prices can move abruptly as participation changes.
Market odds reflect the consensus of participant expectations about the 15-minute outcome and update in real time as new orders arrive; interpret them as a dynamic summary of information rather than a fixed forecast.
The market compares SOL's price at the defined start of the 15-minute interval with the price at the defined end of that same interval; the market page specifies the exact timestamps and the reference price source used for settlement.
The contract description on KALSHI lists the official start (and end) timestamps or indicates the trigger for the interval; check the event page or platform notifications for the precise start time before the market opens or trades.
Settlement typically uses a designated price feed or exchange index and may use the exact trade price, midpoint, or an average at the stated timestamps—consult the event's resolution rules on KALSHI for the precise method.
Yes; on such a short horizon, a single large trade can move the price enough to flip the outcome, and exchange outages or data-feed problems can materially affect settlement if they impact the designated reference source.
Historical tick- or minute-level data can show typical volatility and how often short windows flip direction, which helps assess risk, but short-interval outcomes remain noisy and highly sensitive to transitory flows and events.