| Outcome | Probability | Yes Bid | Yes Ask | 24h Change | Volume | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Price to beat: $87.6736 | 21% | 20¢ | 21¢ | — | $110 | Trade → |
This market resolves on whether SOL (Solana) is higher or lower after a 15-minute interval; it matters because very short time-window markets let traders express views on immediate price moves and liquidity events.
Solana is a high-throughput smart‑contract token that often shows rapid intraday swings driven by order flow and on‑chain activity. Fifteen‑minute markets capture microstructure effects — exchange order book dynamics, bots, and isolated news — rather than longer‑term fundamentals. The current market shows limited aggregate volume, so quoted prices may be sensitive to individual trades.
Quoted prices on this market reflect the aggregated expectations of participants about movement over the specified 15‑minute window; because this is a very short interval, prices can change quickly and should be checked in real time before trading.
The precise start and end timestamps are defined in the event specification on KALSHI; the market uses KALSHI’s official clock and the stated start time in the event description, so check that page for the exact UTC times and any tie‑breaking rules.
Settlement follows the market’s rules: KALSHI compares the reference price at the defined start of the 15‑minute window to the reference price at the defined end, using the designated price feed; consult the event rules for how ties or identical prices are handled.
The event description names the official price source (an exchange, index, or aggregator) used for settlement; always verify that listed source on the KALSHI event page to understand where prices come from.
Relatively low traded volume indicates limited liquidity and suggests that individual orders can move the market substantially, increasing slippage and short‑term volatility of quoted prices.
The most impactful short‑term drivers are large exchange orders or whale movements, algorithmic trading and liquidity provision changes, sudden news or outages, and any on‑chain events that affect transaction throughput or confidence in Solana during that window.