| Outcome | Probability | Yes Bid | Yes Ask | 24h Change | Volume | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Price to beat: $87.5869 | 50% | 24¢ | 27¢ | — | $13 | Trade → |
This market asks whether the price of Solana (SOL) will be higher or lower after a 15‑minute interval; it matters to traders and analysts who watch very short‑term price moves and market microstructure.
Fifteen‑minute prediction markets capture intraday order flow and immediate reactions to news or on‑chain events rather than medium‑ or long‑term fundamentals. Solana has a history of rapid intra‑day swings tied to liquidity, large trades, and network performance, so short windows can be especially noisy. Because the contract length is brief, outcomes are often driven by single trades, exchange spreads, and short‑lived information shocks.
Market odds reflect the aggregated expectations and risk preferences of participants at any given moment and update as new orders come in. Use them as a live sentiment and liquidity signal, not a guarantee of the eventual price move.
It measures whether SOL's quoted price at a specified start timestamp is higher or lower 15 minutes later. The contract rules on the KALSHI event page specify the exact start time and the price source used for both timestamps.
Resolution occurs at the end of the 15‑minute window that the contract defines. Because this listing shows 'Closes: TBD', the official start and settlement timestamps will be posted on the KALSHI event page when scheduled—check the event details there for the live timetable.
The event's rulebook names the reference exchange(s) or an aggregated index used for settlement; consult the contract details on KALSHI to see which price feed and exact quote (e.g., last trade, mid‑price) are used.
Low volume means market quotes may reflect a small number of trades and are more vulnerable to large single orders or manipulation; a single listed outcome often indicates a binary-style proposition where the complementary outcome is implied. Expect wider bid/ask spreads and higher sensitivity to individual trades.
Large market orders or iceberg trades on the reference venue, sudden Solana network congestion or outages, exchange halts or anomalies, and rapid bursts of news or coordinated social media activity can all flip a short 15‑minute outcome.