| Outcome | Probability | Yes Bid | Yes Ask | 24h Change | Volume | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Price to beat: $87.4631 | 46% | 47¢ | 50¢ | — | $72 | Trade → |
This market asks whether SOL (Solana) will be higher or lower after a specific 15-minute interval; it matters because minute-scale outcomes reflect immediate price reaction and short-term sentiment among traders.
SOL is a widely traded smart-contract token that often shows notable intraday volatility, so 15-minute windows can capture rapid moves driven by order flow, large trades, or breaking news. Markets that resolve over very short intervals are dominated by liquidity conditions, algorithmic trading, and precise timing rather than longer-term fundamentals.
Market odds summarize the current aggregate view of traders about the defined 15-minute movement and update in real time; interpret them as a live sentiment indicator, not a guaranteed forecast, and combine with your own price and risk analysis.
It measures whether SOL's reference price at the market's defined settlement time is higher or lower than at the defined start time of the 15-minute interval; check the event page for the precise start and settlement timestamps and the chosen price source.
This event's close/start times are determined by the platform and may be listed as TBD on summary screens; consult the KALSHI event page or platform interface for the authoritative start and settlement timestamps before trading.
Low volume typically means limited liquidity, wider effective spreads, and larger price impact for individual trades, which can make odds more volatile and sensitive to single bets; consider smaller trade sizes and be aware that prices may move abruptly on low participation.
Settlement will be based on the platform's published resolution rules, which usually compare the reference price at the defined start and end times using the specified data source or exchange; review the event's resolution details for the exact reference feed and tie-break procedures.
Yes; platforms generally have contingency rules for missing or unreliable reference prices (alternative data sources, time adjustments, or cancellation policies). Review KALSHI's resolution policy on the event page to see how such situations would be handled for this market.