| Outcome | Probability | Yes Bid | Yes Ask | 24h Change | Volume | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Price to beat: $87.8984 | 52% | 45¢ | 47¢ | — | $59 | Trade → |
This market asks whether the price of Solana (SOL) will be higher or lower over a 15‑minute interval. Short‑horizon markets matter to traders who want to express views on immediate price moves driven by order flow, news, and microstructure.
SOL is a high‑throughput blockchain token that has shown substantial intraday and intra‑hour volatility; on a 15‑minute horizon, price moves are often dominated by large orders, liquidity changes, and rapid reaction to news or social signals. This market isolates a very short time window, so outcomes are more sensitive to market microstructure (order books, spreads, bots) and any exchange or oracle timing quirks than longer‑term fundamentals.
Market prices on KALSHI aggregate traders' expectations about the 15‑minute move and will update as new information arrives; read quoted prices as the market view at that moment, not as guarantees of what will happen.
The market compares a reference SOL price at the start of the defined 15‑minute window to the reference price at the end of that window; if the end price is higher, the outcome is 'Up'; if lower, 'Down'. Consult the event's resolution rules for details on ties or rounding.
The start time for the 15‑minute window is specified on the event page; because this listing currently shows the close as TBD, check the market page for the announced start/close timestamps before placing trades.
The event page and KALSHI's official market rules list the exact reference price source (exchange(s) or index) and the sampling method; always refer to those details on the market page to know which feed will be used for settlement.
Resolution of an unchanged price depends on the market's tie rules as stated on the event page; check the listed resolution policy to see whether unchanged prices are resolved as a specific outcome or handled by a predefined procedure.
Traded volume does not affect the official settlement mechanism, which is based on the reference price; however, low volume can mean wider spreads and greater price impact from individual orders, making the market more sensitive to single trades or low liquidity during the 15‑minute window.