| Outcome | Probability | Yes Bid | Yes Ask | 24h Change | Volume | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| $85 or above | 68% | 65¢ | 73¢ | — | $451 | Trade → |
| $89 or above | 37% | 18¢ | 27¢ | — | $131 | Trade → |
| $84 or above | 82% | 73¢ | 83¢ | — | $51 | Trade → |
| $94 or above | 5% | 0¢ | 5¢ | — | $33 | Trade → |
| $91 or above | 15% | 5¢ | 13¢ | — | $20 | Trade → |
| $83 or above | 89% | 85¢ | 90¢ | — | $6 | Trade → |
| $93 or above | 2% | 0¢ | 8¢ | — | $1 | Trade → |
| $77 or above | 0% | 95¢ | 100¢ | — | $0 | Trade → |
| $64 or above | 0% | 99¢ | 100¢ | — | $0 | Trade → |
| $66 or above | 0% | 99¢ | 100¢ | — | $0 | Trade → |
| $52 or above | 0% | 99¢ | 100¢ | — | $0 | Trade → |
| $54 or above | 0% | 99¢ | 100¢ | — | $0 | Trade → |
| $116 or above | 0% | 0¢ | 1¢ | — | $0 | Trade → |
| $60 or above | 0% | 99¢ | 100¢ | — | $0 | Trade → |
| $104 or above | 0% | 0¢ | 1¢ | — | $0 | Trade → |
| $120 or above | 0% | 0¢ | 1¢ | — | $0 | Trade → |
| $112 or above | 0% | 0¢ | 1¢ | — | $0 | Trade → |
| $56 or above | 0% | 99¢ | 100¢ | — | $0 | Trade → |
| $50 or above | 0% | 99¢ | 100¢ | — | $0 | Trade → |
| $114 or above | 0% | 0¢ | 1¢ | — | $0 | Trade → |
| $48 or above | 0% | 99¢ | 100¢ | — | $0 | Trade → |
| $99 or above | 0% | 0¢ | 3¢ | — | $0 | Trade → |
| $98 or above | 0% | 0¢ | 3¢ | — | $0 | Trade → |
| $75 or above | 0% | 96¢ | 100¢ | — | $0 | Trade → |
| $72 or above | 0% | 97¢ | 100¢ | — | $0 | Trade → |
| $111 or above | 0% | 0¢ | 1¢ | — | $0 | Trade → |
| $101 or above | 0% | 0¢ | 3¢ | — | $0 | Trade → |
| $76 or above | 0% | 96¢ | 100¢ | — | $0 | Trade → |
| $92 or above | 0% | 3¢ | 10¢ | — | $0 | Trade → |
| $73 or above | 0% | 97¢ | 100¢ | — | $0 | Trade → |
| $79 or above | 0% | 92¢ | 99¢ | — | $0 | Trade → |
| $70 or above | 0% | 97¢ | 100¢ | — | $0 | Trade → |
| $100 or above | 0% | 0¢ | 3¢ | — | $0 | Trade → |
| $115 or above | 0% | 0¢ | 2¢ | — | $0 | Trade → |
| $61 or above | 0% | 97¢ | 100¢ | — | $0 | Trade → |
| $107 or above | 0% | 0¢ | 3¢ | — | $0 | Trade → |
| $57 or above | 0% | 98¢ | 100¢ | — | $0 | Trade → |
| $59 or above | 0% | 98¢ | 100¢ | — | $0 | Trade → |
| $49 or above | 0% | 97¢ | 100¢ | — | $0 | Trade → |
| $119 or above | 0% | 0¢ | 3¢ | — | $0 | Trade → |
| $102 or above | 0% | 0¢ | 3¢ | — | $0 | Trade → |
| $74 or above | 0% | 98¢ | 100¢ | — | $0 | Trade → |
| $67 or above | 0% | 97¢ | 100¢ | — | $0 | Trade → |
| $106 or above | 0% | 0¢ | 1¢ | — | $0 | Trade → |
| $55 or above | 0% | 97¢ | 100¢ | — | $0 | Trade → |
| $62 or above | 0% | 99¢ | 100¢ | — | $0 | Trade → |
| $51 or above | 0% | 97¢ | 100¢ | — | $0 | Trade → |
| $68 or above | 0% | 99¢ | 100¢ | — | $0 | Trade → |
| $71 or above | 0% | 97¢ | 100¢ | — | $0 | Trade → |
| $65 or above | 0% | 97¢ | 100¢ | — | $0 | Trade → |
| $69 or above | 0% | 97¢ | 100¢ | — | $0 | Trade → |
| $58 or above | 0% | 99¢ | 100¢ | — | $0 | Trade → |
| $53 or above | 0% | 97¢ | 100¢ | — | $0 | Trade → |
| $63 or above | 0% | 97¢ | 100¢ | — | $0 | Trade → |
| $105 or above | 0% | 0¢ | 2¢ | — | $0 | Trade → |
| $110 or above | 0% | 0¢ | 1¢ | — | $0 | Trade → |
| $117 or above | 0% | 0¢ | 3¢ | — | $0 | Trade → |
| $122 or above | 0% | 0¢ | 1¢ | — | $0 | Trade → |
| $109 or above | 0% | 0¢ | 3¢ | — | $0 | Trade → |
| $121 or above | 0% | 0¢ | 3¢ | — | $0 | Trade → |
| $113 or above | 0% | 0¢ | 3¢ | — | $0 | Trade → |
| $118 or above | 0% | 0¢ | 1¢ | — | $0 | Trade → |
| $108 or above | 0% | 0¢ | 1¢ | — | $0 | Trade → |
| $103 or above | 0% | 0¢ | 2¢ | — | $0 | Trade → |
| $97 or above | 0% | 0¢ | 3¢ | — | $0 | Trade → |
| $81 or above | 0% | 89¢ | 97¢ | — | $0 | Trade → |
| $96 or above | 0% | 0¢ | 3¢ | — | $0 | Trade → |
| $86 or above | 0% | 52¢ | 62¢ | — | $0 | Trade → |
| $90 or above | 0% | 10¢ | 19¢ | — | $0 | Trade → |
| $88 or above | 0% | 28¢ | 37¢ | — | $0 | Trade → |
| $87 or above | 0% | 39¢ | 49¢ | — | $0 | Trade → |
| $78 or above | 0% | 94¢ | 100¢ | — | $0 | Trade → |
| $80 or above | 0% | 92¢ | 98¢ | — | $0 | Trade → |
| $82 or above | 0% | 90¢ | 95¢ | — | $0 | Trade → |
| $95 or above | 0% | 0¢ | 4¢ | — | $0 | Trade → |
This market asks what the USD price of SOL will be at Mar 12, 2026 at 5pm EDT — a time‑specific contract used by traders to express views or hedge exposure to Solana over that interval. It matters because it isolates price risk at a single settlement timestamp, useful for short-term portfolio decisions and event-driven strategies.
SOL is the native token of the Solana blockchain and its price is driven by a mix of cryptocurrency market cycles, network fundamentals, and macroeconomic conditions. Solana markets have historically shown high intraday volatility and can react quickly to protocol upgrades, outages, large liquidity moves, regulatory announcements, and broader crypto risk sentiment.
Market odds on this contract represent the aggregate beliefs and risk preferences of participants trading the listed outcomes; they update continuously as new information arrives and liquidity shifts. Treat them as a summary of current market positioning and available information, not a guaranteed forecast.
Settlement follows the market's published rules: the platform will use a specified price source and methodology (for example a single exchange tick, time‑weighted average, or an oracle feed) at or around the stated timestamp — consult the market's settlement details on the KALSHI page to see the exact reference and any aggregation window or tie‑breaking rules.
Each outcome corresponds to a predefined price bucket or point on the market (check the outcome labels on the event page). On settlement, the outcome whose bucket contains the observed reference price (as defined in the market rules) will be declared the winner; read the outcome descriptions carefully to match ranges to outcomes.
If the market close time is listed as TBD, the platform has not set a final trading cutoff yet — KALSHI will announce a closing time prior to settlement. Until a close is posted, expect trading to continue; always confirm the official close on the market page before placing last‑minute orders.
With many discrete outcomes (75) liquidity can be fragmented across buckets, which increases spread and slippage for large orders; the event page shows total volume traded (currently $693), which indicates limited liquidity and suggests caution when placing sizable trades or expecting tight execution near settlement.
Key movers can include large exchange order flow (market makers or whales), last‑minute news impacting Solana or broader crypto markets, scheduled Solana announcements or maintenance, and sudden liquidity withdrawals from major venues; automated trading bots can also amplify short‑term moves around thin‑liquidity windows.