| Outcome | Probability | Yes Bid | Yes Ask | 24h Change | Volume | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Target Price: $93.1518 | 0% | 0¢ | 0¢ | — | $0 | Trade → |
This market asks whether the USD price of Solana (SOL) will be relative to a $93.1518 target during a specified 15-minute measurement window. It matters because short, intra-day movements capture liquidity conditions, news sensitivity, and trader sentiment around SOL.
Solana is a high-throughput blockchain whose native token has historically shown strong intra-day volatility, making very short time-window targets useful for traders and hedgers. Short-duration markets like this focus attention on order-book dynamics, exchange price feeds, and transient events (large trades, network incidents, or breaking news) that can move price quickly.
Market odds on this page reflect participants' collective assessment of whether the specified price condition will be met during the 15-minute window and will update as new information arrives. Use those odds as a real-time indicator of sentiment and not as a deterministic prediction.
It means the market is tied to whether SOL's USD price meets the stated $93.1518 condition within a predefined 15-minute measurement period. Check the market's settlement rule for the precise condition (for example, whether the price must be at/above, at/below, or equal to the target) and the exact start and end times of the 15-minute window.
The closing time is listed as TBD for this market. Settlement typically happens after the 15-minute measurement window ends, using the platform-defined timestamp and price feed; consult the event details on KALSHI for the official close and settlement timestamps once they are posted.
The market's detail page specifies the authoritative price source and aggregation method used for settlement. Common approaches include an exchange-specific last trade, a weighted average across exchanges, or a specific market data provider—verify the exact source in the event's settlement rules.
Highly impactful items include large single trades or block orders, exchange outages or maintenance, sudden regulatory or macro headlines, on-chain incidents affecting Solana, and rapid algorithmic trading or liquidation events that move the order book.
Zero or low traded volume indicates low liquidity and that a small number of orders could substantially move the market. That increases execution risk and widens effective costs; it also means posted odds may be less informative until more participants trade the market.