| Outcome | Probability | Yes Bid | Yes Ask | 24h Change | Volume | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Target Price: $93.0057 | 0% | 0¢ | 0¢ | — | $0 | Trade → |
This market asks whether SOL (Solana) will meet a specified $93.0057 price condition during a defined 15‑minute observation interval. Short-window markets like this matter because they isolate immediate price moves and liquidity events that broader timeframes can obscure.
SOL is a major smart‑contract token with history of intraday volatility; 15‑minute markets focus on order flow, liquidity and short-term catalysts rather than long-term fundamentals. Rapid news, large trades, exchange behavior, or Solana‑specific network events can move the price within minutes, so participants monitor live order books and on‑chain activity closely.
Market odds are a real‑time expression of collective expectations about whether the contract’s settlement condition will be met; treat them as one input among live price feeds, order book data, and your risk management rules rather than definitive forecasts.
It indicates the contract evaluates SOL price behavior over a 15‑minute observation window against the $93.0057 threshold; the contract text defines whether settlement uses any trade/quote touching the level, an end‑window snapshot, or an average over the interval.
The market's close time and the exact start/end of the 15‑minute window are specified on the market page; currently the close is listed as TBD, so check the KALSHI market listing for updates or official timestamps before trading.
Settlement uses the data source named in the market’s settlement rules on KALSHI; that may be a single exchange, a set of exchanges, or an aggregated index—consult the market details or KALSHI support if the feed is unclear.
Network events can create abrupt moves: outages can reduce liquidity and widen spreads, upgrades or releases can trigger fast buying or selling, and newsflow can concentrate volatility within the 15‑minute window—monitor dev channels, explorers, and exchange order books in real time.
That depends on the contract’s settlement rule: some markets consider any valid trade or quote that reaches the level as meeting the condition, while others require a closing snapshot or an averaged value—read the event's settlement criteria to know which applies.