| Outcome | Probability | Yes Bid | Yes Ask | 24h Change | Volume | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Target Price: $92.8038 | 0% | 0¢ | 0¢ | — | $0 | Trade → |
This market asks whether the price of SOL will reach the specified $92.8038 target within a single 15-minute measurement window. It matters because short intraday moves around a precise price level can be driven by liquidity, news, and large orders and are of interest to traders who trade event-level outcomes.
Solana (SOL) is a high-liquidity, high-volatility crypto asset whose price can move sharply in short periods in response to on-chain events, exchange flows, and macro news. Markets that reference a narrow time window and a precise price level are designed to capture the probability of brief spikes or dips that broader time-series metrics can miss.
Market prices on this contract represent traders' collective assessment of the likelihood that SOL will meet the target during the specified 15-minute window; a higher market price implies greater market confidence that the target will be hit. Always consult the event’s resolution rules for exact settlement mechanics before trading.
It means the event outcome is determined by whether SOL reaches the target at any time during a single contiguous 15-minute interval; the exact start and end times for that interval will be defined in the market's resolution schedule.
If the official resolution rule states 'reaches or exceeds,' any trade or published mid-price at or above the target during the window typically qualifies; if the rule requires a trade, the feed must show an executed trade at that level—consult the official event terms for the definitive criterion.
The market will rely on the price source(s) specified in its resolution rules (for example a set of specified exchanges or an aggregate feed); if multiple venues are listed, the rules describe how they are combined—check the event details to see which sources apply.
Resolution procedures for outages are set in the event’s terms: typical outcomes include pausing resolution until reliable data resumes, using the next available clean print, or applying an alternative feed; review the event’s disruption and force majeure clauses for the exact process.
Large liquidity takers (whales), algorithmic trading strategies that chase short-term momentum, coordinated traders acting on fresh news, and liquidity imbalances on a key exchange feed can all trigger rapid moves that meet or exceed the target within the short window.