| Outcome | Probability | Yes Bid | Yes Ask | 24h Change | Volume | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Target Price: $91.2225 | 0% | 0¢ | 0¢ | — | $0 | Trade → |
This market asks whether the price of Solana (SOL) will reach the specified $91.2225 target during a contiguous 15-minute measurement window. Short-window price targets matter because they capture transient liquidity and order-book dynamics that traders use for rapid speculation and hedging.
Solana is a high-liquidity, high-volatility crypto asset whose short-term price action is sensitive to exchange order books, large trades, network events, and macro crypto market moves. Fifteen-minute targets are frequently driven by microstructure events — for example, large market orders, exchange listings/delistings, on-chain incidents, or sudden news affecting broader crypto markets. Because the window is short, even small differences in data sources or timing can change whether a target is observed.
Market odds on this platform reflect aggregated trader belief and willingness to take positions about whether the target will be hit during the specified window; changes in odds indicate shifting expectations, liquidity, or new information rather than a deterministic forecast.
Resolution depends on the event's published settlement rules: generally it means the official reference price (trade price or index level specified on the event page) equals or exceeds the target at any time during the defined 15-minute window. Always check the event details for the exact data source and hit conditions.
The start and end times for the 15-minute window are specified on the event page; the window is a contiguous 15-minute interval. If the event's start time is listed as TBD, the platform will post the precise UTC start/end times before activation—monitor the event page for updates.
The event page lists the official price source used for settlement. If a specific exchange or composite index is named there, that feed governs resolution; if not, the platform's standard settlement policy applies, so check the event's data-source field before trading.
Yes — because the window is short, large market orders or coordinated trading on the exchange(s) feeding the reference price can push the observed price across the target threshold, especially in periods of low depth or on thin venues.
Zero volume indicates no historical trades yet and likely limited liquidity; a single listed outcome means the market resolves to that single proposition as defined by the event. Approach with caution: confirm settlement rules, expect wider spreads and low counterparty depth, and size positions conservatively.