| Outcome | Probability | Yes Bid | Yes Ask | 24h Change | Volume | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Target Price: $91.0157 | 0% | 0¢ | 0¢ | — | $0 | Trade → |
This market asks whether SOL (Solana) will reach the specific price target of $91.0157 within a single 15-minute observation window. Short-duration price targets like this matter for traders who want to express views on immediate volatility or hedge intraday exposure.
Solana is a high-liquidity cryptocurrency that often shows pronounced intraday swings driven by macro headlines, exchange flows, and on-chain activity. Fifteen-minute markets isolate microstructure moves — they can be influenced by a single large trade, sudden news, or automated trading strategies. The event is listed on KALSHI and currently shows no traded volume and a close time marked as TBD.
Prediction market odds on this event synthesize traders' information and expectations about whether SOL will hit the target during the specified 15-minute window; changes in odds reflect new information, liquidity, and trading interest rather than intrinsic certainty.
The observation window is a contiguous 15-minute interval specified by the market’s settlement rules; the precise start and end times (and time zone) and how the platform reports the window are provided on the event page and in the contract terms.
Settlement uses the reference price feed named in the event’s contract (often an aggregated exchange feed or a specified exchange); consult the market’s detailed rules on KALSHI to see which data source and timestamp are authoritative.
Whether a brief touch counts depends on the contract’s settlement definition (trade price vs. quote, and any minimum duration); check the event’s settlement criteria to see if any minimum reporting or trade requirements apply.
Resolution occurs after the designated 15-minute observation window has completed and the platform validates the reference price data; the exact scheduled window or closing timestamp will be published on the event page once set.
High-frequency traders, market makers, and large holders (whales or institutions) are the most likely to move price over a 15-minute interval, with retail bursts and exchange-specific order flow also capable of producing rapid moves.