| Outcome | Probability | Yes Bid | Yes Ask | 24h Change | Volume | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Target Price: $89.7890 | 0% | 0¢ | 0¢ | — | $0 | Trade → |
This market asks whether the SOL (Solana) price will meet the specified $89.7890 target within a defined 15-minute interval; outcomes determine payout for traders who take positions on that event. It matters because short, time‑boxed price targets are sensitive tests of intraday volatility and liquidity for SOL.
Solana is a high‑throughput blockchain token known for intraday price swings driven by news, network events, and broader crypto flows. This market is hosted on KALSHI and currently lists no traded volume and a close time marked TBD, so participants should confirm the exact settlement window and data source before trading. Short-interval price markets like this reflect minute-by-minute market conditions rather than long-term fundamentals.
Market prices/odds on the platform represent the collective view of traders about the likelihood of the event, and they update as new information arrives. Interpreting them requires attention to liquidity and order flow—thin markets can shift quickly and may not fully reflect fundamental changes.
The outcome will be based on the SOL price observation(s) specified in the market rules for the designated 15‑minute interval—check the market’s settlement definition to see whether it uses a last trade price, midprice, or a time‑weighted average from a particular data source.
The market page should list the exact start and end timestamps for the 15‑minute interval; because this listing currently shows 'Closes: TBD', wait for the platform to publish the scheduled interval or any updates before trading.
KALSHI will specify a designated reference data source or oracle in the market’s official rules; consult those settlement details on the event page to confirm which exchange(s) or aggregate feed will be used.
Resolution depends on the market’s precise condition wording (for example, whether the event requires price to be at or above, or strictly above, the target). Review the event’s settlement criteria to see how exact equality is handled.
Broader events—such as large BTC moves, macro headlines, liquidity shifts across exchanges, or coordinated large trades—can rapidly change short‑interval price dynamics and thus materially affect the market’s likelihood of meeting the target within the 15‑minute window.