| Outcome | Probability | Yes Bid | Yes Ask | 24h Change | Volume | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Target Price: $89.2142 | 0% | 0¢ | 0¢ | — | $0 | Trade → |
This market asks whether the price of SOL will meet a $89.2142 target during a specified 15-minute measurement window. It matters because short intraday targets test very short-term price dynamics and can reveal immediate market sensitivity to news, liquidity, and microstructure.
The event is hosted on KALSHI and refers to Solana (SOL), a liquid crypto asset whose price can move quickly on intra‑day timeframes. The market's settlement mechanics, price feed and exact window start time are set by the host; the market close time is listed as TBD, so check the event page for updates before trading. Short windows like 15 minutes are driven more by order flow and execution than by longer-term fundamentals.
Prediction market odds for this event reflect traders' aggregated beliefs about whether SOL will reach the $89.2142 level within that 15-minute window, given available information and settlement rules; interpret them as a real-time consensus signal, not a guarantee.
The precise start time and how the 15-minute window is anchored (clock-aligned or triggered by an event) are specified by the event host on the market page; check KALSHI's event details for the official start rules.
Settlement uses the specific price feed and exchange(s) named by KALSHI for this event; the event page lists the authoritative data source and the exact timestamping methodology.
Whether a brief touch counts depends on the host's settlement definition (e.g., 'price equals or exceeds target at any point' versus 'closing price within window'); consult the market's settlement rules on the event page to know which condition applies.
Look at recent intraday high/low ranges, tick-by-tick or minute-level volatility, order book depth around the target price, and prior occurrences of similar short-window moves to gauge how frequently SOL has reached comparable levels in short timeframes.
Events such as network outages or recoveries, major validator incidents, large token transfers or concentrated sell/buy activity, and scheduled upgrades can all create rapid price moves that materially affect whether the target is hit in a short window.