| Outcome | Probability | Yes Bid | Yes Ask | 24h Change | Volume | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Target Price: $88.8760 | 0% | 0¢ | 0¢ | — | $0 | Trade → |
This market asks whether SOL will meet a specified price target during a defined 15-minute observation window; it matters because short-duration price-target markets isolate immediate price action and liquidity events for Solana. Traders use these markets to express views on near-term volatility, order-flow shocks, or news-driven moves.
Short, time-bound crypto contracts like this emerged to let participants speculate on minute-scale price moves without holding the asset. Solana's price can be particularly sensitive to on-chain events, exchange order-book dynamics, and macro crypto news, so very short windows can be decided by transient spikes or rapid flows. The event source (KALSHI) and the event rules determine which exchange(s) or index will be used for settlement.
Market odds reflect aggregated trader expectations about whether the target will be met during the 15-minute window; interpret them as a real-time consensus signal about near-term likelihood, while remembering they change with new information and liquidity.
It indicates a 15-minute observation period tied to the event; consult the event rules to confirm whether the market settles based on the price at a specific timestamp within that window or on whether the price trades at or above the target at any point during the window.
The settlement price depends on the exchange(s) or index specified in the event's rule text; check the market's detailed rules on the platform to see which venue or aggregated feed will be used for official settlement.
Platform policies typically cover outages and delays — outcomes may be determined using the next available valid feed, a backup feed, or the market could be voided or delayed; review the platform's contingency and settlement policies for specifics.
Whether a single trade qualifies depends on the event's rule wording (e.g., 'trades at or above' versus 'closing price'); read the settlement criteria to know if transient ticks satisfy the condition.
Historically, minute-scale targets are often decided by short-lived liquidity imbalances or sudden news; they can flip quickly and may be influenced more by exchange microstructure and large single orders than by longer-term fundamentals.