| Outcome | Probability | Yes Bid | Yes Ask | 24h Change | Volume | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Target Price: $87.6115 | 0% | 0¢ | 0¢ | — | $0 | Trade → |
This market asks whether the price of SOL will be at a specific target level ($87.6115) during a defined 15-minute settlement window. It matters because short-interval, single-price targets capture brief price moves and are sensitive to volatility and liquidity.
The market is a short-duration crypto price event tied to a single SOL price level and a 15-minute observation period. Markets like this reflect traders' views on near-term supply/demand, exchange order flow, and short-term news or technical triggers. Because the contract closes on a specific minute-level window, outcomes can hinge on transient events such as exchange spikes, large market orders, or network incidents.
Prediction market odds reflect the market's consensus about the likelihood of the target outcome given available information and liquidity; they update as participants trade. Interpret odds qualitatively as the market-implied level of confidence rather than fixed forecasts, and always check settlement rules and timestamps for this event.
Outcome determination follows KALSHI's settlement rules for this contract: the market compares the official price observation(s) defined on the event page for the 15-minute window to the $87.6115 target. Consult the event description and official settlement specification on KALSHI for the precise rule (instantaneous tick versus averaged observation).
The start and end timestamps are specified in the event details on the KALSHI page; this listing shows 'Closes: TBD', so check the event page or announcements for the exact scheduled window once KALSHI publishes it.
A $0 traded volume indicates no executed trades yet, which implies low liquidity; low participation can lead to wider bid-ask spreads and greater sensitivity to single participants, so outcome-implied prices may move sharply with small orders.
Settlement uses the exchange(s) or data feed specified in the event's settlement rules on KALSHI; those rules name the source (an exchange, an index, or an oracle). Always verify the listed data source on the event page before trading.
Impact depends on the settlement method: if the contract uses an instantaneous timestamped price, a brief spike could determine the outcome; if it uses an interval average or median, brief spikes may be smoothed out. Review the event's settlement methodology to understand how transient moves are treated.