| Outcome | Probability | Yes Bid | Yes Ask | 24h Change | Volume | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Target Price: $86.9773 | 0% | 0¢ | 0¢ | — | $0 | Trade → |
This market asks whether Solana (SOL) will reach a specified price target during a 15-minute interval; it matters because it isolates very short‑term price risk and lets traders express views on immediate market moves.
Solana is an actively traded crypto asset known for periods of high intraday volatility and occasional network incidents that can amplify price moves. Short time‑frame bets like this often react strongly to exchange order flow, macro headlines, and asset‑specific news such as upgrades, outages, or listings.
Prediction market odds aggregate traders' beliefs about the likelihood the target will be achieved in the stated 15‑minute window; interpret them as a real‑time summary of sentiment and supply/demand, not a guaranteed forecast.
The market's official rules and event description define the exact 15‑minute start and end times (including timezone); consult the event page or settlement documentation for the definitive timing once it is posted.
Settlement typically uses a specified reference price or index (one or more exchanges or a consolidated feed); the event's settlement rules list the exact source(s) and any aggregation method.
The event wording or settlement specification indicates whether the threshold is met by a trade/quote touching the level at any time within the window or by a closing value; check that language to know whether equality or intrawindow touches qualify.
Yes — low liquidity, outsized orders, erroneous trades, or feed outages can materially affect the reference price used for settlement; many markets include filters or rules for anomalous data, so review how such events are handled in the market rules.
Look at recent intraday volatility and typical 15‑minute move sizes, order‑book depth on major venues, recent network performance (outages or stabilizing upgrades), and how SOL has correlated with broader crypto market moves during comparable timeframes.