| Outcome | Probability | Yes Bid | Yes Ask | 24h Change | Volume | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Target Price: $86.8672 | 0% | 0¢ | 0¢ | — | $0 | Trade → |
This market asks whether the price of Solana (SOL) will reach the specified target of $86.8672 within a 15-minute observation window. Short-interval price targets matter because they isolate rapid, intraday moves driven by liquidity, news, or execution flow rather than multi-day trends.
Solana is a high-throughput layer-1 blockchain whose token often exhibits substantial short-term volatility relative to fiat and other crypto assets. Rapid price moves can be driven by exchange order flow, large single trades, network technical events, listings/delistings, or macro headlines that affect crypto liquidity and risk appetite. Prediction markets on brief windows like 15 minutes capture trader views on these immediate, high-frequency drivers rather than long-term fundamentals.
Market odds for this event summarize how traders collectively price the chance that SOL will meet the $86.8672 target during the specified 15-minute window; they update in real time as new information and orders arrive. Treat market prices as a dynamic aggregation of trader expectations and available information, not as a certainty.
It denotes the continuous observation period during which the reference price will be evaluated against the target. The event settles according to whether the settlement rules (detailed by the exchange) consider the target hit during that specific 15-minute interval.
Settlement uses the official reference price feed specified by the market operator—typically an index or exchange quote. Check the event’s contract specs on KALSHI to see the exact exchange(s), timestamping rules, and whether settlement uses last trade, midpoint, or another quoted value.
Whether a brief touch counts depends on the settlement method: some contracts settle on any intra-window touch while others require the price at a designated timestamp or a sustained level. Consult the market’s settlement rules on the event page to confirm which standard applies.
The specific exchange(s) or aggregated index used for settlement are listed in the market’s documentation on KALSHI. If the event page does not show them, refer to KALSHI’s settlement policy or contact their support for the canonical feed and tie-break procedures.
Likely catalysts include a single large market order or cascade of liquidations, an exchange listing or delisting, urgent network incidents or announcements affecting Solana, or sudden macro/regulatory headlines that shift crypto liquidity and risk-taking in a short span.