| Outcome | Probability | Yes Bid | Yes Ask | 24h Change | Volume | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Target Price: $86.8222 | 0% | 0¢ | 0¢ | — | $0 | Trade → |
This market asks whether the price of Solana (SOL) will meet a specific $86.8222 target during a single 15-minute observation window on KALSHI. Short-duration price-target markets matter because they isolate very near-term price behavior and are sensitive to microstructure, news, and liquidity.
SOL is a major blockchain token that has historically shown large intraday swings and strong correlation with broader crypto market moves. Prices are driven by on-chain activity, exchange liquidity, derivatives flows, protocol upgrades, and macro or regulatory headlines. This contract’s 15-minute horizon means resolution depends on brief, sometimes transient price moves rather than longer-term trends; the market close time is listed as TBD, so check the event page for scheduling and final resolution rules.
Market odds on platforms like KALSHI represent the real-time aggregation of traders’ expectations and available information; for a 15-minute target they change quickly as orders and news flow in. Use live quotes and the event’s rulebook to interpret how those odds map onto the contract’s specific resolution criteria.
Resolution depends on the contract’s precise criteria: generally the observable SOL spot price must meet or exceed the stated target within the designated 15-minute observation window according to the price source named in the event rules. Always check the event’s official resolution rules on KALSHI for the exact wording.
The start time is defined in the event details or the platform’s rulebook; some markets use a fixed clock time while others use a trigger. Because this listing shows 'Closes: TBD,' consult the event page or platform notifications for the confirmed observation window schedule before trading.
The platform specifies the official price source in the event description or contract terms—common choices are a single major exchange or an aggregate index. Refer to the event’s resolution criteria on KALSHI to see which feed will be authoritative.
Low or zero traded volume indicates limited participant information and thin liquidity; prices can be more volatile and a single trade may move the market significantly. Treat quoted prices as less reliable signals until activity and depth increase.
Yes. Short observation windows are particularly vulnerable to transient spikes or concentrated orders, especially if the resolution uses a single exchange with low depth. Check whether the contract uses aggregated feeds or time-weighted measures and review KALSHI’s dispute and manipulation safeguards in the event rules.